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What the US-Japan trade deal means for Asia and the world

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Suranjana Tewari

Asia Business Correspondent

Getty Images US President Donald TrumpGetty Images

US President Donald Trump has called the agreement he reached with Japan the “largest trade deal in history”.

It might be premature to make such claims, but it’s certainly the most significant deal since Trump announced his so-called Liberation Day tariffs in April which roiled stock markets and created chaos for global trade.

After months of negotiations, Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said he expects the deal will help the global economy.

It is a big claim. The BBC examines whether it will and if so, how?

Japan Inc

Japan is the world’s fourth largest economy, meaning it accounts for a large part of global trade and growth.

Tokyo imports a great deal of energy and food from overseas and is dependent on exports including electronics, machinery and motor vehicles.

The US is its biggest export market.

Some experts had warned that Trump’s tariffs could knock as much as a percentage point off Japan’s economy, pushing it into recession.

With lower tariffs, exporters will be able to do business in the US more cheaply than if Trump had stuck to an earlier threat to levy higher taxes.

And the deal brings certainty, which allows businesses to plan.

The announcement also strengthened the Japanese yen against the US dollar, giving manufacturers more purchasing power to buy the raw materials they need to expand their businesses.

The US agreement is particularly good for Japan’s auto giants like Toyota, Honda and Nissan. Previously, American importers had to pay a 27.5% levy when they shipped in Japanese cars.

That is now being reduced to 15%, potentially making Japanese cars cheaper compared to the likes of rival China.

Having said that, US automakers have signalled they are unhappy with the deal.

They are concerned they have to pay a 25% tariff on imports from their plants and suppliers in Canada and Mexico compared with Japan’s 15% rate.

Jobs and more deals

In return for reduced tariffs, Japan has proposed investing $550bn in the US to enable Japanese firms “to build resilient supply chains in key sectors like pharmaceuticals and semiconductors,” Ishiba said.

Japan is already a major investor in the US, but this amount of money should create jobs, make quality products and foster innovation.

Under the deal, Trump said Japan will increase purchases of agricultural products such as US rice which could help the country’s rice shortage – even if it might rattle local farmers concerned about losing market share.

The 15% tariff is also a benchmark for other countries like South Korea and Taiwan who are holding their own trade negotiations with the US.

Getty Images Bags of American-grown rice at a market in Brooklyn, New York Getty Images

Japan will buy rice from America, according to Donald Trump

South Korea’s industry minister said he will take a close look at the terms of what Japan has agreed with the US as he headed to Washington for crunch trade talks.

Japan and South Korea compete in industries like steel and autos.

More broadly, the US and Japan deal will put more pressure on other countries – especially major Asia exporters – to secure better agreements before a 1 August deadline.

Deals with Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines have already been announced.

But some Asian countries will suffer.

Smaller economies like Cambodia, Laos and Sri Lanka are manufacturing exporters and they have little to offer Washington in terms of trade or investment.

Did the US get what it wants?

There were reports that the US had called on Japan to increase military spending.

But Tokyo’s tariff envoy has clarified that the deal does not include anything on defence spending.

Ryosei Akazawa added that steel and aluminium tariffs would remain at 50%.

These both may be wins for Japan, since it exports more vehicles to the US than it does steel and aluminium.

The pressure is also on the US to get as many of these deals over the line before its self-imposed tariff August deadline.

Alongside negotiations with the US, countries might start looking for more reliable partners elsewhere.

On the same day as Washington and Toyko announced their agreement, Japan and Europe pledged to “work more closely together to counter economic coercion and to address unfair trade practices,” according European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

The European Union is yet to agree a trade deal with the US.

“We believe in global competitiveness and it should benefit everyone,” said Ms von der Leyen.



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AI company Anthropic to pay authors $1.5 billion in landmark settlement

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Big numbers often get thrown around in the aftermath of legal battles, as judges hand down judgements—or attorneys arrange settlement amounts—in the tens, or hundreds, of millions of dollars. Still, even jaded legal observers can occasionally run into a genuinely daunting number while parsing this stuff. Like, say, the $1.5 billion settlement that AI company Anthropic has agreed to pay in the ongoing class-action suit against it, launched by authors who said the company infringed on their copyrighted works by feeding them as training data to its “AI assistant” Claude. Sure, parts of that sum (calculated at $3,000 per work for a staggering number of works, and with its first $300 million installment due just five days after the settlement is approved) might potentially vanish in a puff of future bankruptcy. But it’s still the “largest publicly reported copyright recovery in history,” according to legal documents from the authors’ attorneys.

That being said, the win here on the wider AI front is quite a bit less clear than “hand our clients the annual estimated GDP of Grenada” might suggest. Yes, U.S. District Judge William Alsup set the stage for Anthropic to eat that massive price tag by ruling that the company clearly violated copyright agreements via how it acquired the books it fed into its own personal woodchipper. (I.e., downloading pirated datasets of millions of books that had been floating around the internet.) And, yes, the settlement will require Anthropic to destroy those “shadow library” datasets in its possession. (But notably, with no actual changes to the Claude large language model itself.) Most critically, though, back in June, Alsup also ruled that “reproducing purchased-and-scanned books to train AI” falls under fair use, calling the case “exceedingly transformative” as a justification for the designation.

As such, both sides in the fight issued statements claiming a form of victory today, with the authors’ side focusing mostly on the massive size of the settlement amount. Anthropic, meanwhile—which has been backed in the past with more than $6 billion in contributions from Amazon and Google—focused its statements on the legal precedent it achieved in the case: “In June, the District Court issued a landmark ruling on AI development and copyright law, finding that Anthropic’s approach to training AI models constitutes fair use. Today’s settlement, if approved, will resolve the plaintiffs’ remaining legacy claims.” What this likely means is that AI companies aren’t going to slow down—especially with, say, a $1.5 billion mortgage suddenly hanging over their heads—but simply become a lot more choosy about how they get their training data.

[via Deadline]




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Broadcom Inc. Reports Record Revenue Amid AI Growth

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Broadcom Inc. ((AVGO)) has held its Q3 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call.

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The recent earnings call from Broadcom Inc. showcased a strong performance in AI semiconductors and infrastructure software, with record revenues and a solid backlog. Despite some challenges in the non-AI semiconductor segment and pressures on gross margins due to product mix, the overall sentiment was optimistic. The positive highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights, indicating a promising outlook for future growth, particularly in AI.

Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth

Broadcom Inc. reported a record total revenue of $16 billion, marking a 22% increase year-on-year. This impressive growth was primarily driven by the strong performance in AI semiconductors and the expansion of VMware. The company’s ability to achieve such significant revenue growth underscores its strategic focus on high-growth areas.

AI Semiconductor Growth

The AI semiconductor segment was a standout performer, generating $5.2 billion in revenue, which represents a 63% increase year-on-year. This marks the 10th consecutive quarter of robust growth in this segment. Looking ahead, Broadcom forecasts AI semiconductor revenue to reach approximately $6.2 billion in Q4, up 66% year-on-year, highlighting the company’s leadership in this rapidly expanding market.

Infrastructure Software Segment Performance

Broadcom’s infrastructure software segment also delivered strong results, with revenue reaching $6.8 billion, up 17% year-on-year. The total contract value booked during Q3 was $8.4 billion, reflecting the company’s strength in securing long-term commitments from customers.

Strong Backlog and Bookings

The company’s consolidated backlog reached a record $110 billion, with bookings showing robust growth, particularly in AI. This substantial backlog provides a solid foundation for future revenue and demonstrates strong customer demand across Broadcom’s product lines.

CEO Tenure Extension

In a significant leadership development, Broadcom’s board and CEO Hock Tan have agreed that he will continue as the CEO through at least 2030. This extension provides stability and continuity in leadership, which is crucial for executing the company’s long-term strategic vision.

Non-AI Semiconductor Demand

While the AI segment thrived, the non-AI semiconductor demand remained sluggish, with Q3 revenue of $4 billion flat sequentially. Enterprise networking and service storage experienced sequential declines, with only broadband showing strong growth. This highlights the challenges Broadcom faces in certain segments of its semiconductor business.

Gross Margin Impact

Broadcom anticipates a slight decline in its Q4 consolidated gross margin, down approximately 70 basis points sequentially. This is primarily due to a higher mix of XPUs and wireless revenue, which impacts the overall product mix and margin structure.

Forward-Looking Guidance

During the earnings call, Broadcom provided robust guidance for the upcoming quarter and fiscal year. The company forecasts Q4 2025 consolidated revenue of $17.4 billion, up 24% year-on-year, with AI semiconductor revenue expected to reach $6.2 billion, up 66% year-on-year. Infrastructure software revenue is projected at $6.7 billion, up 15% year-on-year. Broadcom anticipates an adjusted EBITDA margin of 67% for Q4, with continued growth in the AI business and the addition of a significant fourth customer expected to positively impact fiscal 2026.

In summary, Broadcom Inc.’s latest earnings call highlighted a strong performance in AI semiconductors and infrastructure software, with record revenues and a promising outlook for future growth. Despite some challenges in non-AI segments and margin pressures, the overall sentiment was optimistic, driven by significant achievements and robust forward-looking guidance.

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Runway founder Cristóbal Valenzuela wants Hollywood to embrace AI

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At 84, veteran mogul John Malone is still a power broker, hinting at “further consolidation in the media industry” following a recent sit down with David Ellison. Should we be on the lookout for a Warner–Paramount merger? Meanwhile in Vegas, the Sphere’s $100 million Wizard of Oz reimagining leans on AI to expand the visuals and even slip in cameos of David Zaslav and James Dolan. The Directors Guild did not take kindly to the stunt. Partners in Banter Kim Masters and Matt Belloni pull back the curtain on the Sphere’s Emerald City sideshow.

Plus, Masters speaks with Runway co-founder Cristóbal Valenzuela about the role of artificial intelligence in Hollywood. The Chilean-born developer acknowledges that AI may lead to some job losses, but he argues it will ultimately benefit filmmakers. He explains why studios including Lionsgate, Netflix, and Disney are already using Runway’s tools. Plus, he compares the current backlash against AI to the upheaval that followed the introduction of sound in film.





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