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US tech stocks fall amid wave of concerns over AI boom

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This article is an on-site version of our FirstFT newsletter. Subscribers can sign up to our Asia, Europe/Africa or Americas edition to get the newsletter delivered every weekday morning. Explore all of our newsletters here

Good morning and welcome back to FirstFT Asia. In today’s newsletter:

  • AI bubble fears

  • China and India’s warming ties

  • Labubu frenzy powers Chinese toy company

  • The growing insurgency within the Fed


US tech stocks sold off yesterday as a wave of concerns that intense enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence could be overdone slammed into some of Wall Street’s most speculative companies.

Stock drop: The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed down 1.4 per cent, driven by drops for some of this year’s best performing stocks. Software group Palantir fell 9.4 per cent and Nvidia — whose advanced AI chips are relied upon across the industry — lost 3.5 per cent. The decline marked the biggest one-day drop for the index since August 1.

Spooked investors: Traders pinned some of the decline on a report released late on Monday by a branch of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in which researchers said that “95 per cent of organisations are getting zero return” from their investments in generative AI. “The story is spooking people,” said one trader close to a multibillion-dollar US tech fund. The stock drop also came days after OpenAI chief executive Sam Altman signalled that an AI bubble might be forming. Here’s what he said.

And here’s what else we’re keeping tabs on today:

  • Monetary policy: China announces its loan prime rate decision. Indonesia and New Zealand also make rate decisions.

  • India-Russia relations: Indian foreign minister S Jaishankar continues a visit to Russia. The trip comes after the US doubled tariffs on Indian goods owing to New Delhi’s purchases of Russian oil.

Five more top stories

1. China and India have achieved a “new environment” of “peace and tranquillity”, New Delhi’s national security adviser told Beijing’s top diplomat, as the two countries move to repair ties shattered by a deadly border clash in 2020. Their meeting yesterday will pave the way for Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s first visit to China in seven years at the end of this month. Here’s how relations improved.

2. The White House yesterday said it was “ironing out the details” of a deal that would entail the US government taking a 10 per cent stake in Intel. The US chipmaker’s manufacturing business has incurred billions of dollars in losses as it struggled to compete with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.

3. The global popularity of the furry elf doll Labubu helped Pop Mart’s sales more than triple in the first six months of the year. The Chinese toy company is worth more than twice as much as Hasbro and Mattel combined following the Labubu frenzy that has been embraced by celebrities including Rihanna and David Beckham.

4. Donald Trump has said that the US could play a role “by air” in a postwar security guarantee for Ukraine, as he warned Vladimir Putin that he would face a “rough situation” if he did not co-operate on a peace deal. The question of security guarantees is one of several that remain unresolved after the White House summit between Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

5. Bill Gates is funding a $1mn competition to spur the use of AI to find innovative treatments for Alzheimer’s disease. The winning tool will be released for free on the Alzheimer’s Disease Data Initiative’s cloud “workbench” to be used by scientists globally. Read the full story.

News in-depth

Jay Powell at Jackson Hole in 2023. The Federal Reserve chair’s job in Wyoming on Friday will be more complicated than normal © AP

Jay Powell’s speech at the Federal Reserve’s August summit in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, is always a high-stakes moment. This year, the central bank’s chair takes the podium under fire — facing fierce attacks from Trump and a growing insurgency within his own institution.

We’re also reading . . . 

  • Tariffs: Trump is not ushering in a new global trading order, writes Inu Manak. The US is simply denying itself the benefits of the system that already exists.

  • Drug cartels: With the global cocaine business booming as never before, Latin America’s organised crime groups are diversifying into a swath of other illicit activities.

  • Luxury hotel uniforms: Design studios that produce bespoke clothing for grand hotels are facing complex demands, writes John Gapper.

Chart of the day

At a Nio battery-swapping station near Shanghai, it takes just three minutes to power up an electric vehicle. A series of investments in swapping infrastructure by CATL, the world’s largest battery maker, is set to pave the way towards the wider adoption of the technology in China, the world’s biggest EV market.

Take a break from the news . . . 

From sustainable materials to passive design, architects are turning to the tropics for inspiration on how to live in an era of intensifying climate challenges.

Concrete staircase in front of a wall-sized bookshelf filled with books in an industrial-style room
Bangkok designer Boonserm Premthada made his Back of the House project using bricks upcycled from power plant waste © Haley Richardson



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Mergers & Acquisitions

FTAV’s further reading

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AI and jobs; Oklahoma and towers; India and retailers; AI and cybercrime; Norway and elections



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Trump Intel deal designed to block sale of chipmaking unit, CFO says

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The Trump administration’s investment in Intel was structured to deter the chipmaker from selling its manufacturing unit, its chief financial officer said on Thursday, locking it into a lossmaking business it has faced pressure to offload.

The US government last week agreed to take a 10 per cent stake in Intel by converting $8.9bn of federal grants under the 2022 Chips Act into equity, the latest unorthodox intervention by President Donald Trump in corporate America.

The agreement also contains a five-year warrant that allows the government to take an additional 5 per cent of Intel at $20 a share if it ceases to own 51 per cent of its foundry business — which aims to make chips for third-party clients.

“I don’t think there’s a high likelihood that we would take our stake below the 50 per cent, so ultimately I would expect [the warrant] to expire,” CFO David Zinsner told a Deutsche Bank conference on Thursday.

“I think from the government’s perspective, they were aligned with that: they didn’t want to see us take the business and spin it off or sell it to somebody.”

Intel has faced pressure to carve off its foundry business as it haemorrhages cash. It lost $13bn last year as it struggled to compete with rival TSMC and attract outside customers.

Zinsner’s comments highlight how the deal with the Trump administration ties the company’s hands.

Analysts including Citi, as well as former Intel board members, have called for a sale — and Intel has seen takeover interest from the likes of Qualcomm.

Intel’s board ousted chief executive Pat Gelsinger, the architect of its ambitious foundry strategy, in December, which intensified expectations that it could ultimately abandon the business.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Thursday the deal was being finalised. “The Intel deal is still being ironed out by the Department of Commerce. The T’s are still being crossed, the I’s are still being dotted.”

Intel received $5.7bn of the government investment on Wednesday, Zinsner said. The remaining $3.2bn of the investment is still dependent on Intel hitting milestones agreed under a Department of Defense scheme and has not yet been paid.

He said the warrants could be viewed as “a little bit of friction to keep us from moving in a direction that I think ultimately the government would prefer we not move to”.

He said the direct government stake could also incentivise potential customers to view Intel on a “different level”.

So far, the likes of Nvidia, Apple and Qualcomm have not placed orders with Intel, which has struggled to convince them it has reliable manufacturing processes that could lure them away from TSMC.

As Intel’s new chief executive Lip-Bu Tan seeks to shore up the company’s finances, the government deal also “eliminated the need to access capital markets”, Zinsner explained.

Given the uncertainty over whether Intel would hit the construction milestones required to receive the Chips Act manufacturing grants, converting the government funds to equity “effectively guaranteed that we’d get the cash”.

“This was a great quarter for us in terms of cash raise,” Zinsner added. Intel had also recently sold $1bn of its shares in Mobileye, and was “within a couple of weeks” of closing a deal to sell 51 per cent of its stake in its specialist chips unit Altera to private equity firm Silver Lake, he noted.

SoftBank also made a $2bn investment in Intel last week. Zinsner pushed back against the idea that it had been co-ordinated with the government, as SoftBank chief executive Masayoshi Son pursues an ever-closer relationship with Trump.

“It was coincidence that it fell all in the same week,” Zinsner said.



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Nuclear fusion developer raises almost $900mn in new funding

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One of the most advanced nuclear fusion developers has raised about $900mn from backers including Nvidia and Morgan Stanley, as it races to complete a demonstration plant in the US and commercialise the nascent energy technology.   

Commonwealth Fusion Systems plans to use the money to complete its Sparc fusion demonstration machine and begin work on developing a power plant in Virginia. The group secured a deal in June to supply 200 megawatts of electricity to technology giant Google.

The Google deal was one of only a handful of such commercial agreements in the sector and placed CFS at the forefront of fusion companies trying to perfect the technology and develop a commercially viable machine.

CFS has raised almost $3bn since it was spun out of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 2018, drawing investors amid heightened interest in nuclear to meet surging energy demand from artificial intelligence.

“Investors recognise that CFS is making fusion power a reality. They see that we are executing and delivering on our objectives,” said Bob Mumgaard, chief executive and co-founder of CFS. 

New investors in CFS’s latest funding round, which raised $863mn, include NVentures, Nvidia’s venture capital arm, Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global and a consortium of 12 Japanese companies led by Mitsui & Co.

Nuclear fusion seeks to produce clean energy by combining atoms in a manner that releases a significant amount of energy. In contrast, fission — the process used in conventional nuclear power — splits heavy atoms such as uranium into smaller atoms, releasing heat.

CFS is also planning to build the world’s first large-scale fusion power plant in Virginia, which is home to the largest concentration of data centres in the world.

BloombergNEF estimates that US data centre power demand will more than double to 78GW by 2035, from about 35GW last year, and nuclear energy start-ups already have raised more than $3bn in 2025, a 400 per cent increase on 2024 levels.

But experts have warned that addressing the technological challenges to the development of fusion would be expensive, putting into question the viability of the technology.

No group has yet been able to produce more energy from a fusion reaction than the system itself consumes despite decades of experimentation.

“Fusion is radically difficult compared to fission,” said Mark Nelson, managing director of the consultancy Radiant Energy Group, pointing to the incredibly high temperatures and pressures required to combine atoms.

“The hard part is not making fusion reactors. Every step forward towards what may be a dead end economically, looks like something that justifies another billion or a Nobel Prize.



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