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Samsung profits take big hit from US chip controls and AI memory shortfalls

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Samsung Electronics delivered an earnings shock on Tuesday, projecting a 56 per cent drop in second-quarter operating profit, as US restrictions on China and its struggle to supply key customer Nvidia with advanced memory products weighed on its performance.

The company, one of the world’s largest makers of memory chips, estimated its operating profit for April to June at Won4.6tn ($3.3bn), its weakest in six quarters and the fourth consecutive quarterly decline. It was significantly lower than the Won6.3tn profit forecast by LSEG SmartEstimate. Sales were little changed at Won74tn.

Samsung’s device solution division, which houses its chip business, recorded a quarter-on-quarter “decline in profit due to inventory value adjustments and the impact of US restrictions on advanced [artificial intelligence] chips for China”, the company said.

The worse than expected guidance will intensify concerns about the continuing delays in the South Korean tech giant being able to supply its latest HBM3E chips to AI leader Nvidia. Smaller rivals SK Hynix and Micron Technology are enjoying booming demand for their advanced HBM chips.

Samsung recently began supplying HBM3E to chipmakers AMD and Broadcom, but has yet to win Nvidia’s approval of its performance. With the company failing to capitalise on the AI boom, Samsung shares have gained just 20 per cent so far this year, largely due to their relatively low valuation, while SK Hynix shares have surged almost 60 per cent.

In June, Samsung recorded its lowest share of South Korea’s flagship Kospi stock benchmark for nine years.

Last month, Micron forecast stronger than expected quarterly revenues on robust demand for HBM chips, while SK Hynix, the main HBM supplier to Nvidia, is expected to report record quarterly earnings.

Samsung said its improved HBM chips were undergoing customer evaluation and were being shipped, but did not name the clients.

Analysts estimate Samsung suffered more than Won4tn of foundry losses in the first half, as the company failed to secure big customers for its contract manufacturing business, due to poor yields and the widening gap with industry leader TSMC.

Samsung said US curbs on China-bound AI chips also had an adverse impact on the foundry business, but it expected operating losses to narrow in the second half on a gradual recovery in demand.

“The non-memory business experienced a decline in earnings due to sales restrictions and related inventory value adjustments stemming from US export restrictions on advanced AI chips for China, as well as continued low utilisation rates,” the company said.  

“What counts most is its HBM supply to [Nvidia] and the overall chip demand recovery,” said analysts at DS Investment & Securities in a recent report. “But [Samsung’s] earnings will probably rebound in the third quarter after hitting the bottom in the second.”

The group revealed earlier this year that the value of its exports to China had jumped 54 per cent between 2023 and 2024, as Chinese companies rushed to secure stockpiles of advanced AI chips in the face of increasingly restrictive US export controls.

US tariffs are also hurting sales of Samsung TVs and other home appliances, while the stronger Korean won, which has appreciated about 7 per cent against the dollar so far this year, is also affecting its price competitiveness.

Samsung hopes to regain ground in the smartphone market with the launch of thinner foldables in New York later this week. Global foldable handset shipments increased 12 per cent to 17.2mn units last year, but Samsung’s share of the market fell from 54 per cent to 45 per cent.



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AI and jobs; Oklahoma and towers; India and retailers; AI and cybercrime; Norway and elections



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Trump Intel deal designed to block sale of chipmaking unit, CFO says

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The Trump administration’s investment in Intel was structured to deter the chipmaker from selling its manufacturing unit, its chief financial officer said on Thursday, locking it into a lossmaking business it has faced pressure to offload.

The US government last week agreed to take a 10 per cent stake in Intel by converting $8.9bn of federal grants under the 2022 Chips Act into equity, the latest unorthodox intervention by President Donald Trump in corporate America.

The agreement also contains a five-year warrant that allows the government to take an additional 5 per cent of Intel at $20 a share if it ceases to own 51 per cent of its foundry business — which aims to make chips for third-party clients.

“I don’t think there’s a high likelihood that we would take our stake below the 50 per cent, so ultimately I would expect [the warrant] to expire,” CFO David Zinsner told a Deutsche Bank conference on Thursday.

“I think from the government’s perspective, they were aligned with that: they didn’t want to see us take the business and spin it off or sell it to somebody.”

Intel has faced pressure to carve off its foundry business as it haemorrhages cash. It lost $13bn last year as it struggled to compete with rival TSMC and attract outside customers.

Zinsner’s comments highlight how the deal with the Trump administration ties the company’s hands.

Analysts including Citi, as well as former Intel board members, have called for a sale — and Intel has seen takeover interest from the likes of Qualcomm.

Intel’s board ousted chief executive Pat Gelsinger, the architect of its ambitious foundry strategy, in December, which intensified expectations that it could ultimately abandon the business.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Thursday the deal was being finalised. “The Intel deal is still being ironed out by the Department of Commerce. The T’s are still being crossed, the I’s are still being dotted.”

Intel received $5.7bn of the government investment on Wednesday, Zinsner said. The remaining $3.2bn of the investment is still dependent on Intel hitting milestones agreed under a Department of Defense scheme and has not yet been paid.

He said the warrants could be viewed as “a little bit of friction to keep us from moving in a direction that I think ultimately the government would prefer we not move to”.

He said the direct government stake could also incentivise potential customers to view Intel on a “different level”.

So far, the likes of Nvidia, Apple and Qualcomm have not placed orders with Intel, which has struggled to convince them it has reliable manufacturing processes that could lure them away from TSMC.

As Intel’s new chief executive Lip-Bu Tan seeks to shore up the company’s finances, the government deal also “eliminated the need to access capital markets”, Zinsner explained.

Given the uncertainty over whether Intel would hit the construction milestones required to receive the Chips Act manufacturing grants, converting the government funds to equity “effectively guaranteed that we’d get the cash”.

“This was a great quarter for us in terms of cash raise,” Zinsner added. Intel had also recently sold $1bn of its shares in Mobileye, and was “within a couple of weeks” of closing a deal to sell 51 per cent of its stake in its specialist chips unit Altera to private equity firm Silver Lake, he noted.

SoftBank also made a $2bn investment in Intel last week. Zinsner pushed back against the idea that it had been co-ordinated with the government, as SoftBank chief executive Masayoshi Son pursues an ever-closer relationship with Trump.

“It was coincidence that it fell all in the same week,” Zinsner said.



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Nuclear fusion developer raises almost $900mn in new funding

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One of the most advanced nuclear fusion developers has raised about $900mn from backers including Nvidia and Morgan Stanley, as it races to complete a demonstration plant in the US and commercialise the nascent energy technology.   

Commonwealth Fusion Systems plans to use the money to complete its Sparc fusion demonstration machine and begin work on developing a power plant in Virginia. The group secured a deal in June to supply 200 megawatts of electricity to technology giant Google.

The Google deal was one of only a handful of such commercial agreements in the sector and placed CFS at the forefront of fusion companies trying to perfect the technology and develop a commercially viable machine.

CFS has raised almost $3bn since it was spun out of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 2018, drawing investors amid heightened interest in nuclear to meet surging energy demand from artificial intelligence.

“Investors recognise that CFS is making fusion power a reality. They see that we are executing and delivering on our objectives,” said Bob Mumgaard, chief executive and co-founder of CFS. 

New investors in CFS’s latest funding round, which raised $863mn, include NVentures, Nvidia’s venture capital arm, Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global and a consortium of 12 Japanese companies led by Mitsui & Co.

Nuclear fusion seeks to produce clean energy by combining atoms in a manner that releases a significant amount of energy. In contrast, fission — the process used in conventional nuclear power — splits heavy atoms such as uranium into smaller atoms, releasing heat.

CFS is also planning to build the world’s first large-scale fusion power plant in Virginia, which is home to the largest concentration of data centres in the world.

BloombergNEF estimates that US data centre power demand will more than double to 78GW by 2035, from about 35GW last year, and nuclear energy start-ups already have raised more than $3bn in 2025, a 400 per cent increase on 2024 levels.

But experts have warned that addressing the technological challenges to the development of fusion would be expensive, putting into question the viability of the technology.

No group has yet been able to produce more energy from a fusion reaction than the system itself consumes despite decades of experimentation.

“Fusion is radically difficult compared to fission,” said Mark Nelson, managing director of the consultancy Radiant Energy Group, pointing to the incredibly high temperatures and pressures required to combine atoms.

“The hard part is not making fusion reactors. Every step forward towards what may be a dead end economically, looks like something that justifies another billion or a Nobel Prize.



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