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Rheinmetall opens biggest European ammunition plant as EU rearmament picks up

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Good morning.

Today, our Berlin correspondent reports on what the opening of Europe’s largest ammunition plant means for the continent’s rearmament push, and our Russia correspondent explains how Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil facilities are pushing up petrol prices.

Fully loaded

European rearmament is driving ahead at full speed, as Germany’s Rheinmetall yesterday inaugurated what will be the EU’s largest ammunition factory, writes Laura Pitel.

Context: Europe has been racing to dramatically expand production of 155mm artillery shells to supply Ukraine — and also boost the continent’s own stockpiles as a deterrence against Russia.

Nato secretary-general Mark Rutte attended the opening of the new €500mn facility in the town of Unterlüß, in Lower Saxony. Flanked by two large self-propelled howitzers, he praised the “extremely important” German arms maker.

Rutte warned that Russia and China were challenging the west by churning out weapons at an “incredible rate”, but also added that there was “real firepower and innovation” now coming out of defence companies such as Rheinmetall in Nato member states.

The Düsseldorf-based company has emerged as one of the biggest winners of Europe’s huge rearmament drive. It is gearing up for huge orders for tanks and armoured vehicles after conservative Chancellor Friedrich Merz unleashed unlimited borrowing to fund a huge increase in German defence spending.

Rheinmetall broke ground at Unterlüß in February last year and had hoped to build the factory in 12 months. Instead it took about 15 months to reach the point of starting test production a few months ago.

Chief executive Armin Papperger said that, despite the slight delay, it proved that Germany could be fast “when the conditions are right”.

The factory will initially produce about 25,000 artillery rounds this year, with the aim of reaching annual production of 350,000 in 2027.

Overall, the company makes around 700,000 artillery shells a year across different sites, including in other European countries. That is a hefty chunk of the European target of reaching 2mn a year, which Rutte said it was on track to meet by the end of 2025.

The company is planning to expand further: Papperger yesterday also signed a contract with Romania to build another €550mn ammunition factory there, and announced another project in Bulgaria.

Also present at the VIP-packed inauguration was German defence minister Boris Pistorius, fresh from a special cabinet meeting held at his ministry where ministers approved a new voluntary military service.

So too was vice-chancellor and Social Democrat co-leader Lars Klingbeil. Welcoming him from the podium, Papperger reminded the audience that as finance minister, Klingbeil was also the keeper of the nation’s purse strings.

“A very important point,” Papperger said with a grin. “Nice that you’re here.”

Chart du jour: Rebuilding

Ukraine’s reconstruction will cost an estimated $524bn over the next decade. With peace efforts tentatively under way, investors could start looking at how to get involved, writes Lex.

Crudo

Wholesale petrol prices in Russia reached record highs this month after Ukrainian drones severely damaged its oil refineries, leading to shortages in some regions, writes Anastasia Stognei.

Context: Ukraine recently increased the intensity of its attacks on Russian refineries, most of which are conveniently located in the country’s European part. Pressure was compounded by rising demand, as more people travelled by car due to rail disruptions and flight cancellations which were also linked to Ukrainian attacks.

Wholesale prices were up around 50 per cent compared with the start of the year, and Moscow has tried to rein in the rise by prohibiting all petrol exports until the end of September, expanding a previous ban.

While retail prices have risen more slowly than wholesale ones, some gas stations raised prices significantly. The Russian anti-monopoly authority began investigating some of them for “unjustified” price increases, but the effect of these measures has been minimal.  

Russia has also raised its target for exports of crude oil to make up for the lacking refining capacities, according to a report by Reuters. But it’s unclear if those plans will materialise, as shipments have fallen in recent weeks owing to India purchasing less Russian oil amid pressure from the US.

Analysts however believe that the fuel crisis is not yet systemic or affecting the war effort, as the military machinery relies predominantly on diesel.

“The consumer market may face an unprecedented level of problems, but a full-scale fuel supply crunch — one affecting the army, transport and agriculture, and capable of disrupting the economy — is still distant,” said Sergey Vakulenko, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

What to watch today

  1. EU defence ministers arrive in Copenhagen for dinner ahead of an informal meeting.

  2. French President Emmanuel Macron hosts German Chancellor Friedrich Merz for dinner at his Brégançon residence.

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AI and jobs; Oklahoma and towers; India and retailers; AI and cybercrime; Norway and elections



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Trump Intel deal designed to block sale of chipmaking unit, CFO says

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The Trump administration’s investment in Intel was structured to deter the chipmaker from selling its manufacturing unit, its chief financial officer said on Thursday, locking it into a lossmaking business it has faced pressure to offload.

The US government last week agreed to take a 10 per cent stake in Intel by converting $8.9bn of federal grants under the 2022 Chips Act into equity, the latest unorthodox intervention by President Donald Trump in corporate America.

The agreement also contains a five-year warrant that allows the government to take an additional 5 per cent of Intel at $20 a share if it ceases to own 51 per cent of its foundry business — which aims to make chips for third-party clients.

“I don’t think there’s a high likelihood that we would take our stake below the 50 per cent, so ultimately I would expect [the warrant] to expire,” CFO David Zinsner told a Deutsche Bank conference on Thursday.

“I think from the government’s perspective, they were aligned with that: they didn’t want to see us take the business and spin it off or sell it to somebody.”

Intel has faced pressure to carve off its foundry business as it haemorrhages cash. It lost $13bn last year as it struggled to compete with rival TSMC and attract outside customers.

Zinsner’s comments highlight how the deal with the Trump administration ties the company’s hands.

Analysts including Citi, as well as former Intel board members, have called for a sale — and Intel has seen takeover interest from the likes of Qualcomm.

Intel’s board ousted chief executive Pat Gelsinger, the architect of its ambitious foundry strategy, in December, which intensified expectations that it could ultimately abandon the business.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Thursday the deal was being finalised. “The Intel deal is still being ironed out by the Department of Commerce. The T’s are still being crossed, the I’s are still being dotted.”

Intel received $5.7bn of the government investment on Wednesday, Zinsner said. The remaining $3.2bn of the investment is still dependent on Intel hitting milestones agreed under a Department of Defense scheme and has not yet been paid.

He said the warrants could be viewed as “a little bit of friction to keep us from moving in a direction that I think ultimately the government would prefer we not move to”.

He said the direct government stake could also incentivise potential customers to view Intel on a “different level”.

So far, the likes of Nvidia, Apple and Qualcomm have not placed orders with Intel, which has struggled to convince them it has reliable manufacturing processes that could lure them away from TSMC.

As Intel’s new chief executive Lip-Bu Tan seeks to shore up the company’s finances, the government deal also “eliminated the need to access capital markets”, Zinsner explained.

Given the uncertainty over whether Intel would hit the construction milestones required to receive the Chips Act manufacturing grants, converting the government funds to equity “effectively guaranteed that we’d get the cash”.

“This was a great quarter for us in terms of cash raise,” Zinsner added. Intel had also recently sold $1bn of its shares in Mobileye, and was “within a couple of weeks” of closing a deal to sell 51 per cent of its stake in its specialist chips unit Altera to private equity firm Silver Lake, he noted.

SoftBank also made a $2bn investment in Intel last week. Zinsner pushed back against the idea that it had been co-ordinated with the government, as SoftBank chief executive Masayoshi Son pursues an ever-closer relationship with Trump.

“It was coincidence that it fell all in the same week,” Zinsner said.



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Nuclear fusion developer raises almost $900mn in new funding

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One of the most advanced nuclear fusion developers has raised about $900mn from backers including Nvidia and Morgan Stanley, as it races to complete a demonstration plant in the US and commercialise the nascent energy technology.   

Commonwealth Fusion Systems plans to use the money to complete its Sparc fusion demonstration machine and begin work on developing a power plant in Virginia. The group secured a deal in June to supply 200 megawatts of electricity to technology giant Google.

The Google deal was one of only a handful of such commercial agreements in the sector and placed CFS at the forefront of fusion companies trying to perfect the technology and develop a commercially viable machine.

CFS has raised almost $3bn since it was spun out of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 2018, drawing investors amid heightened interest in nuclear to meet surging energy demand from artificial intelligence.

“Investors recognise that CFS is making fusion power a reality. They see that we are executing and delivering on our objectives,” said Bob Mumgaard, chief executive and co-founder of CFS. 

New investors in CFS’s latest funding round, which raised $863mn, include NVentures, Nvidia’s venture capital arm, Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global and a consortium of 12 Japanese companies led by Mitsui & Co.

Nuclear fusion seeks to produce clean energy by combining atoms in a manner that releases a significant amount of energy. In contrast, fission — the process used in conventional nuclear power — splits heavy atoms such as uranium into smaller atoms, releasing heat.

CFS is also planning to build the world’s first large-scale fusion power plant in Virginia, which is home to the largest concentration of data centres in the world.

BloombergNEF estimates that US data centre power demand will more than double to 78GW by 2035, from about 35GW last year, and nuclear energy start-ups already have raised more than $3bn in 2025, a 400 per cent increase on 2024 levels.

But experts have warned that addressing the technological challenges to the development of fusion would be expensive, putting into question the viability of the technology.

No group has yet been able to produce more energy from a fusion reaction than the system itself consumes despite decades of experimentation.

“Fusion is radically difficult compared to fission,” said Mark Nelson, managing director of the consultancy Radiant Energy Group, pointing to the incredibly high temperatures and pressures required to combine atoms.

“The hard part is not making fusion reactors. Every step forward towards what may be a dead end economically, looks like something that justifies another billion or a Nobel Prize.



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