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Apple Q3 Earnings Today: Analysts Want AI Updates, With Stock Down 16%

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  • Apple is about to report earnings, and investors are eager for a win with the stock down 16% this year.
  • The iPhone maker has lagged in the AI race, and analysts want to know what it’ll do to catch up.
  • Analysts want answers on the company’s AI progress and any impact from tariffs.

Apple is headed toward a pivotal earnings report.

The company is set to report results for its fiscal third quarter after the close on Thursday. Apple stock is down 16% year-to-date, with tariff headwinds, iPhone demand, and a lack of a clear AI strategy compared to mega-cap peers weighing on the company.

The tech giant is expected to report revenue of $89.3 billion for the quarter, and earnings per share of $1.43.

Wall Street analysts say that progress on AI, such as any update on a rumored deal with Perplexity, would go a long way in soothing investors’ fears that the iPhone maker is losing ground in the AI race. Tariffs are also still in focus, with analysts watching for updates on how the trade war has impacted the company.

Apple will report results shortly after 4:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, with a call scheduled for 5 p.m. ET.

Apple faces fierce competition in China.

We’ll be looking closely at how Apple performed in China, where it’s faced sales pressure in recent years from local smartphone makers.

CEO Tim Cook has called China “the most competitive market in the world.” Apple competes against Huawei, Oppo, Xiaomi, and others in the region.

Wall Street analysts are expecting Greater China revenue of $15.19 billion.

Don’t be surprised if Tim Cook talks up Apple’s US investments, a recent trend on company earnings calls.

Apple has made multiple announcements around US investments since Donald Trump was re-elected.

The latest is the coming opening of the Apple Manufacturing Academy in Detroit.

“Beginning August 19, Apple, in partnership with Michigan State University, will host small and medium-sized businesses from across the country in Detroit for various workshops with Apple experts,” the company announced. “The courses are designed to help American companies transition to advanced manufacturing by implementing artificial intelligence and smart manufacturing techniques.”

Earlier this month, Apple announced a $500 million investment in a US magnets manufacturer, MP Materials, which sent the supplier’s stock soaring.

Curious what it pays to work at Apple? Check out Apple’s salary data while you wait for earnings.

Apple is hiring for hundreds of roles in machine learning and AI.

Apple doesn’t disclose its salary info publicly. But to get a sense of what Apple can pay for various roles, the federal filings they make when hiring outside of the US can give clues to its pay ranges. While it’s not a complete picture, as the data only refers to foreign hires and doesn’t include equity or other benefits employees can receive on top of their base pay, it’s an interesting window into the company’s comp.

For example, Apple’s salary filings show a machine learning engineer or researcher can take home as much as $312,200, while a human interface designer can earn as much as $468,500.

Check out more details about Apple’s salaries here.

Apple stock is about flat headed toward the earnings report

We’re about 30 minutes out from the closing bell, shortly after which Apple will report last quarter’s earnings.

Shares of Apple have been fairly flat today in the lead-up to the report, falling 0.17%. Over the last five trading days, the stock is down 2.73%.

If investors view the report positively, Apple could join the party started by Microsoft and Meta yesterday, both of which jumped at least 9% in after-hours trading after results were released.

Price hikes aren’t off the table for Apple


Customers trying out Apple’s iPhone 15 at an Apple store in Shanghai, China.


CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images

In addition to further insight on AI strategy, analysts may be listening to the earnings call for clues on potential price increases. While Apple has held off on raising iPhone prices, Jefferies analysts expect the company to hike the price of some iPhone 17 models by $50 when the lineup is released to help cover tariff costs.

Jefferies assumes 40% of the iPhone 17 will be made in China for US consumers. If the average cost to build it goes up by $20 to $25, a $50 bump in price “may barely cover the above cost increases, the analysts wrote.

Other analysts, like EMARKETER’s Jacob Bourne, said iPhones could get more expensive depending on whether they’re made in China or India.

An American-made iPhone is virtually impossible, Business Insider’s Peter Kafka wrote. It certainly won’t happen without an astronomical boost in price, Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives previously said. He estimated that it could be priced at $3,500.

Not everyone is as worried about Apple’s AI strategy

Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring doesn’t think AI is as crucial to Apple’s strategy as other analysts argue.

“We continue to believe that investors do not fully appreciate Apple’s AI intentions — most often comparing what Apple needs to do in AI with what META, GOOGL, AMZN, and others are doing,” Woodring said. “Of course, we acknowledge that Apple might not have fully finalized their own approach to AI, but we also believe that anyone thinking Apple will acquire an AI-powered search engine to ‘solve their AI shortfalls’ is misguided.”

He continued: “We recognize the uncertainty around AI means Apple is not near the top of the “AI Beneficiaries” pecking order today, but
Apple’s core business (selling products and services) is not materially threatened by AI in the near term, and as a result, Apple still has time to right the AI ship.”

Morgan Stanley still has an “Overweight” rating on the stock with a price target of $235.

“Watching this 4th Industrial Revolution race go by at 100 miles an hour”


Apple CEO Tim Cook presents at WWDC 2023

Apple CEO Tim Cook speaks before the start of the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference at its headquarters in Cupertino, California.


Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Wedbush’s Dan Ives is another analyst who sees quick progress on AI as crucial for Apple. He said the firm is in danger of falling permanently behind in the AI race if it doesn’t change course soon.

“In the AI Revolution there is an arms race going on between Big Tech stalwarts Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, OpenAI, Oracle and many others to monetize the biggest tech trend in the last 50 years…..while Apple is at a highway rest stop on a bench watching this 4th Industrial Revolution race go by at 100 miles an hour,” Ives wrote earlier this month.

Ives said Apple should jump on the Perplexity deal and that if it acts quickly, the company can still catch up to competitors. He said such a move would be a “no-brainer” for Apple.

Wedbush has a $270 price target for Apple stock.

The stakes are high after Wall Street was underwhelmed by Apple’s developers conference

After setbacks and delays to its expected AI-driven Siri, Wall Street was eager to hear at WWDC 2025 about the company’s plans to stay competitive in the AI arms race.

While Apple did introduce some new Apple Intelligence features, like AI-powered personalized shortcuts on Mac, it also reiterated that it “needed more time to reach our high-quality bar” and more will be launched in the coming year.

The keynote mainly focused on “Liquid Glass,” a glass-like software design coming to Apple’s gadget lineup this fall.

Watch for updates on Apple’s AI strategy


A robot using a smartphone against a backdrop of Perplexity AI's logo.



Getty/NurPhoto

Investors think Apple is behind on its AI efforts and will be watching to see if CEO Tim Cook signals any shifts in strategy.

Melius Research analyst Ben Reitzes said to listen for potential updates on the rumored possibility that Apple buys Perplexity AI to help with its upgrade of Siri.

Such a move could send the share price soaring, he said, as the company looks for ways to make its products’ interface smoother for users.

“It does feel like the market would reward Apple for being bolder, which could result in several hundreds of billions in value,” Reitzes wrote in a July 21 note.

Melius has a $240 price target on Apple stock.

Apple is taking a look at its supply chain to deal with tariff-related costs

President Donald Trump’s demand for American-made iPhones has become a tariff headache for Apple. To avoid hefty tariff costs from manufacturing in China, the tech giant is ramping up production in India to make more US iPhones outside the region it once heavily relied on.

Smartphones assembled in India made up 44% of US imports in Q2, a jump from the 13% during the same period in 2024, research firm Canalys estimated in an analysis published on Monday.

“For the June quarter, we do expect the majority of iPhones sold in the US will have India as their country of origin,” CEO Tim Cook said during the May 1 earnings call.

The iPhone maker is also looking for American options for its supply chain. On July 15, it announced a $500 million investment in MP Materials, a US producer of rare earth magnets. The deal was a part of Apple’s initiative to spend $500 billion in the US over the next four years.

How is the trade war affecting profits?


citizens pass an Apple store on Nanjing Road Pedestrian street in Shanghai, China, December 16, 2022

An Apple Store in Shanghai, China.


CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images

In a note earlier this week, Bank of America said its clients would be most interested in Apple’s Q2 and future estimated profit margins for clues about how the company, with its sprawling global supply chains, will be able to navigate the trade war.

BofA analyst Wamsi Mohan says tariffs should have a “meaningful negative impact” on Apple’s profits.

One thing that could counteract a hit to margins, however, is the release of a slimmer iPhone, Mohan said. The company could announce the product, which they would likely sell for a higher price than previous iPhones, in September.

“We expect the slim iPhone to replace the Plus model from last year and be priced $100 higher vs the Plus model,” Mohan wrote.

BofA has a “Buy” rating on Apple stock, and expects it to climb to $235 a share within the next 12 months.

Apple earnings estimates: Wall Street expects $89.3 billion of revenue, $1.43 of EPS

Third quarter

Revenue estimate $89.3 billion

  • EPS estimate $1.43
  • Products revenue estimate $62.81 billion
  • IPhone revenue estimate $40.06 billion
  • Mac revenue estimate $7.3 billion
  • IPad revenue estimate $7.07 billion
  • Wearables, home and accessories estimate $7.78 billion
  • Services revenue estimate $26.9 billion
  • Greater China rev. estimate $15.19 billion
  • Total operating expenses estimate $15.34 billion
  • Gross margin estimate $41.16 billion

    Fourth quarter

  • Capital expenditure estimate $3 billion

    Full year

  • Capital expenditure estimate $11.28 billion

Source: Bloomberg data





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Trump calls on EU to impose 100% tariff on China and India to pressure Putin

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US President Donald Trump has called on the European Union to hit China and India with tariffs of up to 100% as part of his efforts to force Russian President Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine, a source familiar with the discussions has told the BBC.

He made the demand, first reported by the Financial Times, during a meeting between US and EU officials on Tuesday discussing options to increase economic pressure on Russia.

The proposal comes as Trump struggles to broker a peace deal between Moscow and Kyiv and as Russia’s strikes on Ukraine intensify.

Separately, Trump told reporters on Tuesday that he plans to talk to Putin on a call this week or early next week.

Ukraine’s main government building in Kyiv was struck by a Russian missile over the weekend – in an attack that was seen as both symbolic and a major increase of aggression by the Kremlin.

Over the weekend, attacks across the country marked the heaviest aerial bombardment on Ukraine since the war began. Ukraine said Russian forces used at least 810 drones and 13 missiles.

On Tuesday, more than 20 civilians were killed by a Russian glide bomb in the eastern Donbas region, as they queued to collect their pensions.

Speaking to reporters after the weekend bombardment, Trump said he was “not happy with the whole situation” and threatened harsher sanctions on the Kremlin.

The US president has previously threatened harsher measures against Russia, but not taken any action despite Putin ignoring his deadlines and threats of sanctions.

A highly anticipated summit between the leaders in Alaska last month ended without a peace deal.

Trump’s request to the European Union follows remarks from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who said Washington was prepared to escalate economic pressure but needed stronger European backing.

Trump also said on Tuesday that the US and India were “continuing negotiations to address the Trade Barriers” between the two countries.

He plans to speak to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the coming weeks and expects a “successful conclusion” to their trade talks, he wrote on his Truth Social platform.

In response to the post, Modi echoed Trump’s optimism that the talks would be successful and said the two countries were “close friends and natural partners.”

“Our teams are working to conclude these discussions at the earliest. I am also looking forward to speaking with President Trump,” he added.

Trump’s comments have been seen by some as the latest sign of a reconciliation between Washington and Delhi, after a collapse in their trade negotiations.

Last week, Trump emphasised the “special relationship” between India and the US, saying “there’s nothing to worry about. We just have moments on occasion”.

China and India are major buyers of Russian oil, which helps to keep the Russian economy afloat.

Last month, the US imposed a 50% tariff on goods from India, which included a 25% penalty for its transactions with Russia.

Although the EU has said it would end its dependency on Russian energy, around 19% of its natural gas imports still come from Russia.

If the EU does impose the tariffs on China and India it would mark a change to its approach of attempting to isolate Russia with sanctions rather than trade levies.



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Ford rolls out new ad campaign amid industry-wide uncertainty

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Ford on Wednesday rolled out a new advertising campaign that the company said will mark a “fundamental shift” in its branding strategy — and comes as the auto industry deals with major uncertainty.

The automaker’s new strategy, titled “Ready, Set, Ford,” goes beyond vehicle-first advertising, Ford said, and instead focuses on the people who buy its cars. It involves four fundamental promises: capability, passion, community and trust.

The auto industry is facing a crucial crossroads as companies deal with President Donald Trump‘s tariffs and an overall consumer pullback in spending. Despite uncertainty with various sectoral tariffs, Trump’s auto tariffs have remained more or less unchanged, with a 25% tariff charge on imported cars and auto parts.

That timing, Ford Chief Marketing Officer Lisa Materazzo said, is intentional.

“The auto industry is in the midst of historic disruption. We are fortunate in the sense that Ford has an incredible 122-year history to leverage,” she said. “So because of that, we felt like there’s no better time to double down on our commitment to our brand and our consumers than now.”

Materazzo said the company engaged in extensive research ahead of the rollout, finding a common theme of uncertainty and anxiety from consumers due to a range of factors, including the political climate and the economy.

“The other thing we found is that consumers are surprisingly optimistic and resilient, especially when they feel empowered, and they’re seeking brands that help them navigate this uncertainty,” she said.

Ford has long championed its American roots and declared it’s the “most American automaker.” That identity is now crucial to the automaker’s brand, Materazzo said, and builds on its “America for America” campaign that offered employee pricing to all consumers shortly after tariffs were initially announced.

The new strategy aims to leverage Ford’s iconic brand while simultaneously signaling that the car company is entering a new era, Materazzo said. It will unify all of Ford’s global brands for the first time in decades under the new campaign, allowing the company to “represent ourselves very consistently around the globe,” she added.

“By Q1 of 2026, all of our global markets will be in market with ‘Ready, Set, Ford,'” Materazzo said. “The majority of them will do that by Q4 of this year.”

The first rollout of the ad is kicking off in conjunction with this week’s Thursday Night Football game, as the automaker aligns itself with the NFL season, one of the largest moneymakers for advertisements leading up to the Super Bowl.

During the Covid pandemic, the auto industry pulled back significantly on advertising and marketing budgets as it dealt with supply chain issues left companies without enough vehicles to sell. Many automakers returned to advertising during the NFL season last year as vehicle inventory levels returned to more normal levels.

Even as the macroenvironment signals uncertainty, Materazzo said the company is focused on continuing to deliver on its legacy and invest in its brand.

“The industry is in the middle of a transition right now. I don’t think all brands will survive, but I think those that not just survive, but thrive, will be the ones who recognize that one of their most valuable assets is their brand,” she said. “And if you don’t invest in your brand, you’re really disadvantaging your business for the long term.”



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Suspect in stabbing of Ukrainian woman in North Carolina charged with federal crime | North Carolina

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The justice department on Tuesday charged a man accused of fatally stabbing a Ukrainian refugee on a North Carolina commuter train last month with a federal crime that could carry the death penalty.

The federal charge comes amid growing questions about why Decarlos Brown Jr was on the street despite 14 prior criminal arrests before he was accused of pulling out a knife and killing 23-year-old Iryna Zarutska in an apparently random attack captured on video.

The case has become latest flashpoint in the debate over whether cities such as Charlotte are adequately addressing violent crime, mental illness and transit safety. The Trump administration says the killing shows how local leaders, judges and policies in Democratic-led cities are failing to protect their residents from violent crime.

“Iryna Zarutska was a young woman living the American dream – her horrific murder is a direct result of failed soft-on-crime policies that put criminals before innocent people,” the US attorney general, Pam Bondi, said in a statement. “We will seek the maximum penalty for this unforgivable act of violence – he will never again see the light of day as a free man.”

Zarutska had been living in a bomb shelter in Ukraine before coming to to the US to escape the war, according to relatives, who described her as determined to build a safer life.

Video released on Friday shows Zarutska entering a light-rail train on 22 August and taking a seat in front of Brown, who was seated behind her. Minutes later, without any apparent interaction, he pulled out a pocketknife, stood and slashed her in the neck, investigators said. Passengers screamed and scattered as she collapsed.

He was charged federally with causing death on a mass transportation system, which carries up to life in prison or the death penalty. Russ Ferguson, the US attorney for the western district of North Carolina, said additional charges could be brought as the investigation continues.

The federal case will run parallel with the state case charging Brown with first-degree murder.

The death penalty is also a potential punishment for people convicted of first-degree murder in North Carolina. However, the state has not carried out an execution since 2006. Legal challenges over the use of lethal injection drugs and a doctor’s presence at executions have in part delayed action.

Brown had cycled through the criminal justice system for more than a decade including serving five years for robbery with a dangerous weapon in Mecklenburg county, according to court records. He was arrested earlier this year after repeatedly calling 911 from a hospital, claiming people were trying to control him. A judge released him without bail.

His mother told local television she sought an involuntary psychiatric commitment this year after he became violent at home. Doctors diagnosed him with schizophrenia.

Court records show a judge ordered a psychological exam in July at the request of his public defender to determine whether he was capable of contributing to his own defense. It wasn’t clear if the exam was scheduled or why it didn’t happen before the late August attack.

The Mecklenburg county public defender’s office did not answer a call on Tuesday.

Charlotte has increased security along its transit lines in response to the fatal stabbing, mayor Vi Lyles said in a letter to the city’s residents. The Democratic mayor’s letter was also critical of the court system, echoing some of the critics of the city’s response.

Lyles called the killing “a tragic failure by the courts and magistrates”, saying the city’s officers arrest people who are then quickly released.

The stabbing comes as Lyles is seeking the Democratic nomination on Tuesday in her bid for a fifth term, and uproar from Republicans, including Trump and figures in the make America great again movement.

The state auditor, Republican Dave Boliek, said his office would audit Charlotte’s transit system, looking at its safety and security budget and private security contracts.



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