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UC Berkeley’s Emi Nakamura on Central Bank Credibility and the Taylor Rule

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The post-Covid inflation will prove to be a treasure trove for academic economists, as they study what drives inflation, and the power that central banks have to contain it once it gets going. At this year’s Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, UC Berkeley professor Emi Nakamura presented a new paper — co-authored with her Berkeley colleagues Jón Steinsson and Venance Riblier — titled Beyond the Taylor Rule. The paper sought to look at the wide range of choices that global central banks made in dealing with inflation to see what if anything could be learned about the Taylor Rule, a load-bearing idea in modern economics that describes what optimal monetary policy looks like when successfully balancing the Federal Reserve’s objectives. Their paper discovers that in any bout of inflation, a central bank that has a greater history of fighting inflation also has the ability to deviate further from strict Taylor Rule guidelines, without achieving worse inflation outcomes. In an interview recorded in Jackson Hole, we speak with Professor Nakamura about her work and its implications for central bankers going forward.



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Funding & Business

Czechs Plan $14 Billion Deficit With Bigger Spending on Defense

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The Czech government is proposing to increase the state budget deficit next year as the fiscally-conservative administration plans to boost spending on defense and a major energy project.

The budget draft has a shortfall of 286 billion koruna ($13.7 billion), about 19% more than the limit approved for this year, the Finance Ministry in Prague said on Sunday. The first deficit increase after four years of austerity policies is a result of additional expenditure of 49 billion koruna on defense and preparations for the construction of two nuclear reactors.



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Chicago Mayor on Trump's Immigration Crackdown Plan

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Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson on signing executive order against Trump’s immigration crackdown plan. (Source: Bloomberg)



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Thai Palace Says Princess’ Bloodstream Infection Improving

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Thai Princess Bajrakitiyabha Narendira Debyavati’s bloodstream infection has improved and her blood pressure has stabilized, the Bureau of the Royal Household said.

The 46-year-old princess, the oldest of King Maha Vajiralongkorn’s seven children, is still being administered antibiotics to control the infection, the bureau said in a statement late Sunday. It was the third health update on the princess issued by the palace in less than a month.



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