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Global layoffs trend mirrors Thai business shake-up as workforce adapts to AI and economic risks

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Pongsuk Hiranprueck, founder and CEO of Show No Limit (BT Beartai), added that while government messaging often stresses “leaving no one behind,” in reality, not everyone can be ready at the same time, and some workers inevitably must be left behind for the country to progress into the new world.


Global trend focuses on workforce reduction

Kriengkrai Thiennukul, Chairman of the Federation of Thai Industries (FTI), said that labour costs typically account for 10-30% of total costs depending on the company. However, other costs—such as office rent, electricity and cleaning services—are often far higher and more flexible to reduce.

“Such adjustments are essentially about cutting unnecessary excess,” he said. “This is a global trend. In addition, worldwide regulations, such as U.S. tax policies, accelerate the need for countries to reduce costs. AI can replace many human roles, especially in administrative and management functions, such as secretarial work or repetitive admin tasks that previously required large numbers of staff.”

Thai businesses are now adapting and restructuring work processes to save costs, increasingly relying on modern technology, including AI and digital tools, which significantly reduce labour requirements.

However, this is only a first step, consistent with global expert predictions that hundreds of millions of jobs could eventually be displaced by AI. This trend is already evident abroad, particularly in the United States, where major firms have cut thousands of positions while replacing staff with AI systems.

Flexible work arrangements that emerged during the COVID‑19 era, such as working from home and project-based employment, further help companies reduce costs. This shift is expected to shrink office spaces in the future, as technology can replace many functions and online monitoring can verify whether employees are actually working. Reduced spending on office rent and overtime boosts efficiency and competitiveness.


Aging society and younger generations exacerbate labour shortages

Tanit Sorat, Vice President of the Employers’ Confederation of Thailand, said that Thailand’s economy remained stronger than expected in the first seven months of 2025. Unemployment is at a multi-year low, reflecting robust export activity. He warned, however, to watch from September onwards, when U.S. inventory depletion is expected to lead to a significant contraction in exports next year.

“During the first seven months of this year, the Thai economy remained stable, similar to the start of the year, with exports as a key pillar supporting employment,” he said. “Exports grew 14%, and the latest unemployment figures from the National Statistical Office were just 0.7%, very low compared with previous periods and last year, when it stood at 1%.”

Tanit pointed out that Thailand’s current picture is not of unemployment, but of a labour shortage. The Ministry of Labour is preparing to recruit foreign workers from Cambodia, Indonesia and the Philippines, while also allowing undocumented workers to register legally, signalling clearly that businesses need actual workers, not idle labour.

Moreover, the perception that employers are increasingly hiring part-time staff is misleading. Full-time positions are still in demand, but it is difficult to find workers due to younger generations’ preference for independent or freelance work rather than traditional full-time employment.

“Regardless of economic conditions, Thailand’s labour shortage remains a structural issue,” Tanit explained. “The country is moving towards an ageing society, the number of new graduates is declining each year, and the younger generation’s reluctance to take full-time positions will exacerbate the problem. Therefore, the solution is not about creating jobs, but about finding people to fill positions that remain vacant.”


Global eyes on second half of year as AI threatens jobs

The global job market experienced turbulence during the first half of 2025, as numerous multinational companies announced major layoffs in response to economic volatility and disruption across multiple industries. For example, Volkswagen, a cornerstone of Germany’s automotive sector, unveiled plans at the end of 2024 and began restructuring this year, with a plan to cut 35,000 jobs over five years.

Meanwhile, the Japanese carmaker Nissan Motor is also undergoing a major restructuring, planning to reduce its workforce by around 20,000 employees.

Even roles once considered secure, such as government jobs, have become precarious in the United States. The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)—a federal agency once overseen by Elon Musk, former close adviser to President Donald Trump—has implemented layoffs across federal offices nationwide. This measure aims to reduce expenditure and cut the U.S. budget deficit. According to The New York Times at the end of July, approximately 150,000 federal employees and civil servants accepted offers to leave their positions.

Looking ahead to the second half of 2025, the labour market—particularly in the U.S., which has already endured the strains of global trade wars—is beginning to exhibit signs of another pressing issue: the emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) as a workforce replacement.

The recruitment firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas recently reported that in the first seven months of 2025, the adoption of Generative AI in the private sector increased, creating more than 10,000 new AI-assisted roles, while AI itself emerged as one of the five primary factors driving layoffs this year.

Throughout July, companies in the U.S. announced over 806,000 private-sector job cuts, the highest total for that month since 2020, according to Challenger’s data.

The technology sector has been the hardest hit. Private firms cut more than 89,000 tech-related positions, an increase of 36% from the previous year, and since 2023, over 27,000 roles directly related to AI have already been eliminated.

“This industry is being transformed by AI advances and ongoing uncertainty regarding work visas, leading to reductions in staff numbers,” the Challenger report noted.

Meanwhile, Handshake, a job platform focused on Generation Z, revealed that the impact of AI on employment is likely most visible among younger workers. Entry-level positions, traditionally filled by recent graduates, fell by 15% last year, and the number of employers referencing “AI” in job descriptions rose by 400%.



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The Guardian view on Donald Trump and India: the tariff war that boosted China | Editorial

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Donald Trump’s imperial tendencies see the US president wield tariffs and sanctions in the expectation that America will receive tributes. Yet his latest move – punishing India with 50% tariffs for Russian oil purchases once encouraged by the US – has produced not submission but spectacle. It has sent India’s Narendra Modi to China for the first time in seven years as Xi Jinping hosted more than 20 leaders for the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit in Tianjin. And it is in Tianjin, not Washington, where it looks as if the hinge of history is moving.

The SCO is easy to dismiss: the bloc is a bundle of contradictions. India and Pakistan remain adversaries. China and India still stare across a garrisoned Himalayan frontier, though relations have thawed since last October’s border breakthrough. Russia and China vie for influence in Central Asia. Unlike Nato, the SCO has no binding defence commitments. For much of its life, it has looked like a paper tiger, sending out communiques that were all roar and no bite.

But in geopolitics, appearances are important. To see Mr Modi, Mr Xi and Vladimir Putin smiling and joking is to watch Washington’s influence fade. Mr Trump’s tariff broadside against India makes Tianjin significant. Here was the prime minister of India – supposedly the US’s Asian counterweight to China – affirming that New Delhi and Beijing are “partners, not rivals”.

India’s calculation is straightforward. It has red lines: agriculture will not be opened up to US demands; oil purchases cannot be determined by Washington; the ceasefire with Pakistan was conceded by Islamabad, not brokered by Mr Trump. Backing down would look like weakness. Far better, from Mr Modi’s perspective, to demonstrate that the US cannot take India’s partnership for granted, and to seek friends elsewhere.

For China, the rewards are immediate. Mr Trump has given Mr Xi a stage on which to pose as the host of an important multipolar gathering. Cai Qi, Mr Xi’s chief of staff and a member of China’s top ruling body – the first to hold both roles since Mao’s era – was dispatched to meet Mr Modi, an unmistakable gesture of intimacy from China’s rulers. Beijing sees the SCO as emphasising the US’s absence and letting others seize the stage.

The implications stretch well beyond South Asia. For Moscow, every handshake in Tianjin underlines that sanctions have not made it a pariah. For Turkey, attendance preserves its ambiguity as a Nato member. For Iran, the SCO condemned the US-Israeli attacks it suffered this summer. The more this theatre normalises China and Russia as leaders of a non-western bloc, the harder it becomes for Washington to muster global consensus – notably over Ukraine – in future crises.

Nor was Tianjin just about Eurasia. A spat with the Philippines over Taiwan on the eve of the summit reminded delegates of China’s reddest lines. The SCO claims it is inclusive. But Beijing runs the show. Mr Trump sought a kowtow from Delhi. Instead, he has handed Beijing the platform for its long game – building a system beyond the reach of the US. Whether that would allow more room for other states to manoeuvre is moot. The SCO may never fight China’s wars, but it ensures Beijing will never stand alone. That is the high price the west may end up paying for Mr Trump’s narcissistic delusions.



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Cost of living giveaway event at Withernsea Leisure Centre

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Residents struggling with the cost of living will be able to access free gifts and affordable produce at a community event in Withernsea.

East Riding of Yorkshire Council said its Help for Households drop-in event would also offer advice on saving money and staying warm.

The event is being held at the town’s leisure centre on Wednesday 25 September, from 10:00 BST to 15:00.

Councillor Nigel Wilkinson, the authority’s cabinet member for finance and governance, said: “We’re aware that many people across the East Riding are struggling with the ongoing cost of living crisis and are making active efforts to support those in need.”

The council said people could get advice on schemes available to help with heating costs ahead of autumn and winter, while eligible households can also get help with loft and cavity wall insulation.

The authority also said there would be affordable produce available to buy, a heated gilet giveaway and free SIM cards and mobile data.

There will also be advice on benefits available to residents on how to reduce bills.

Wilkinson added: “The council has already helped local residents to claim more than £3.8m in benefits in the past year.

”We highly encourage interested residents in Withernsea to attend the drop-in event and find out more about the support for which they may be eligible.”

Residents unable to attend can learn more about the support schemes available by contacting the council.



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Revolut valuation jumps to $75bn with staff set for payout opportunity | Revolut

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Revolut employees are in line for a payout bonanza after the UK fintech firm launched a share sale that has pushed its valuation up by two-thirds to $75bn (£55bn).

The secondary sale, which prices each share at $1,381.06, will secure the finance app’s position as one of the world’s most valuable fintech firms.

Employees will be allowed to sell up to 20% of their personal holdings to new and existing investors over the coming weeks, with payouts likely to follow in the early autumn.

The secondary share sale, which was announced to staff on Monday, comes after Revolut boosted its annual profits by more than 150% in 2024 to £1bn, following a jump in subscriptions and revenues from its wealth and crypto trading divisions.

Revolut’s founder and chief executive, Nik Storonsky, has already enjoyed a $200m-$300m windfall, according to reports, as a result of a separate share sale that valued the company at $45bn last summer. Storonsky is said to be in line for multibillion-dollar fortune if he manages to push the fintech company’s valuation past $150bn (£110bn).

A Revolut spokesperson said on Monday: “As part of our commitment to our employees, we regularly provide opportunities for them to gain liquidity. An employee secondary share sale is currently in process, and we won’t be commenting further until it is complete.”

The announcement will be a boon for longstanding staff but the timing has sparked speculation that Revolut’s much-anticipated stock market debut may be further delayed.

“This could be a sign that the company will either IPO soon or that its employees are getting antsy about the lack of an IPO and want to release their equity in the firm rather than wait for the IPO,” said Kathleen Brooks, a research director at the online broker XTB. “Whatever this moves signals, it is deep shame that Revolut is not planning to IPO in the UK.”

Storonsky suggested last December that New York could be a better fit for the company’s IPO because of the regulatory environment and the size of the market. A US listing would be a major blow to the City and the London Stock Exchange, which has suffered from a growing number of defections.

Revolut bosses have grown frustrated with UK regulators, who have been slow to grant the fintech a full banking licence that would allow it to hold customer deposits and branch out into more lucrative products such as loans and mortgages.

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The challenge, in part, was convincing regulators that Revolut had addressed accounting issues and EU regulatory breaches, as well as reputational concerns, including an aggressive corporate culture. The fintech company says it has since resolved those accounting and regulatory problems and has made efforts to improve its working culture.

The fintech waited three years for initial approval, which was finally granted in July 2024, and it has remained on a restricted UK banking licence since.

The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, tried to secure a meeting with watchdogs and regulators earlier this year amid the delay, but was blocked by the Bank of England governor, Andrew Bailey, amid concerns that Reeves was meddling in a process that should be independent from government intervention and influence.



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