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Average rate on a 30-year mortgage drops to lowest level since October

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The average rate on a 30-year U.S. mortgage fell this week to its lowest level in nearly 10 months, giving prospective homebuyers a sorely needed boost in purchasing power that could help inject life into a stagnant housing market.

The long-term rate fell to 6.58% from 6.63% last week, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday. A year ago, the rate averaged 6.49%.

Borrowing costs on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, popular with homeowners refinancing their home loans, also fell. The average rate dropped to 5.71% from 5.75% last week. A year ago, it was 5.66%, Freddie Mac said.

Elevated mortgage rates have helped keep the U.S. housing market in a sales slump since early 2022, when rates started to climb from the rock-bottom lows they reached during the pandemic. Home sales sank last year to their lowest level in nearly 30 years.

This is the fourth week in a row that rates have come down. The latest average rate on a 30-year mortgage is now at its lowest level since Oct. 24, when it averaged 6.54%.

Mortgage rates are influenced by several factors, from the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy decisions to bond market investors’ expectations for the economy and inflation.

The main barometer is the 10-year Treasury yield, which lenders use as a guide to pricing home loans. The yield was at 4.29% at midday Thursday, up slightly from 4.24% late Wednesday.

The yield has come down the last couple of weeks after weaker-than-expected July U.S. job market data fueled speculation that the Fed will cut its main short-term interest rate next month.

A Fed rate cut could give the job market and overall economy a boost, but it could also fuel inflation just as President Trump’s tariff policies risk raising prices for U.S. consumers.

Meanwhile, a new inflation report Thursday showed prices at the U.S. wholesale level jumped 3.3% last month from a year earlier. That’s was well above the 2.5% rate that economists had forecast, and it could hint at higher inflation ahead.

Earlier this week, the Labor Department said consumer prices rose 2.7% in July from a year earlier, unchanged from June.

Higher inflation could push bond yields higher, driving mortgage rates upward in turn, even if the Fed cuts its key rate.

Economists generally expect the average rate on a 30-year mortgage to remain above 6% this year. Recent forecasts by Realtor.com and Fannie Mae project the average rate will ease to around 6.4% by the end of this year.

That may not be low enough to make a difference. While trends like declining home listing prices and more properties on the market in the Sunbelt and West now favor buyers, affordability remains a major hurdle for many aspiring homeowners.

Home price growth has slowed nationally, but the median sales price of a previously occupied U.S. home still climbed to an all-time high of $435,300 in June.

“Homebuyers who have been relegated to the sidelines by high financing costs got some encouragement in the past two weeks, but it remains to be seen if it’s enough to get more of them back in the game,” said Joel Berner, senior economist at Realtor.com.

The recent drop in mortgage rates has spurred many homeowners to refinance, however.

Mortgage applications jumped 10.9% last week from the previous week as rates eased, boosted by homeowners seeking to refinance, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Home loan refinance applications made up nearly 47% of all mortgage applications. Refi loan applications jumped 23% from a week earlier — the strongest showing since April.

Meanwhile, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages, or ARMs, soared 25% to their highest level since 2022, MBA said.

Many homeowners aren’t waiting for rates to ease further before refinancing. Cash-out home refinancing activity surged to a nearly three-year high in the April-June quarter, as homeowners tapped some of the equity gains built up after years of soaring home prices.





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US Open tennis 2025: Aryna Sabalenka beats Amanda Anisimova in women’s singles final – live | US Open Tennis 2025

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It’s a fourth grand slam title overall for Sabalenka and she’s the first player to successfully defend their US Open singles title since Serena Williams in 2014. Her record in her past six hard-court majors reads W/F/W/W/F/W. It’s almost Sinner-like.





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Mexican festivals in Chicago canceled amid Trump plans to deploy troops | Chicago

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Donald Trump’s plan to deploy national guard troops and federal immigration agents to Chicago is already having an impact on the city’s Mexican community.

Organizers have canceled several local events tied to Mexican Independence Day, which occurs on 16 September.

People of Mexican descent constitute about 21% of the city’s population, according to census data, and hold annual events around the holiday that attract thousands of people.

But Trump recently inaccurately described Chicago as “the most dangerous city in the world” and said: “We’re going in.”

The administration plans to send 230 agents, most of whom work for Customs and Border Protection, to Chicago from Los Angeles as part of an increased effort to make immigration arrests, the Chicago Sun-Times reported.

At least three events connected to the holiday have been canceled or postponed. Organizers decided to cancel El Grito Chicago, an event that drew 24,000 people last year, and was scheduled for 13-14 September.

“It was a painful decision, but holding El Grito Chicago at this time puts the safety of our community at stake – and that’s a risk we are unwilling to take,” the event’s website stated. “While we’re torn by this decision, when we brought this celebration back, our aim was to create a safe, affordable, family-friendly, community festival for all.”

The anxiety in the country’s third-largest city comes after Trump deployed national guard troops to Los Angeles and Washington DC.

Contrary to the president’s assertions, Chicago is not among the country’s most dangerous cities, and the number of homicides decreased from last year to this year, the Guardian reported.

Illinois had about 550,000 unauthorized immigrants in 2023, according to the Pew Research Center. The governor,JB Pritzker, said that he was concerned about Ice agents targeting attendees at the Mexican Independence Day events.

“We have reason to believe that Stephen Miller [the White House deputy chief of staff] chose the month of September to come to Chicago because of celebrations around Mexican Independence Day that happen here every year,” Pritzker said at a news conference.

In addition to El Grito, the Mexican Independence Day parade and festival in the suburb of Waukegan was postponed until November, and the Latin Heritage Fest in Wauconda was canceled, a local Fox affiliate reported.

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“It feels like a slap in the face,” Galiela Mendez, 25, told the Associated Press of the El Grito cancellation. “I think we are all on edge because it’s the same people that describe our home this way, but they never come here and see it for themselves.”

Despite the uncertainty, on Saturday morning, people attended a parade celebrating the holiday in one of the city’s primarily Mexican neighborhoods.

“My heart is like pounding a little bit because I don’t know what to expect today,” Magdalena Alvarado, a longtime Chicago resident, told the Associated Press.

Meanwhile, Trump posted on Truth Social that Chicago was about to find out “why it’s called the Department of War”.

Trump signed an executive order Friday authorizing that title for the Department of Defense.

The post, in reference to the film Apocalypse Now, also stated: “I love the smell of deportations in the morning.”

Pritzker responded on X, “The President of the United States is threatening to go to war with an American city. This is not a joke. This is not normal.”



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Cable snapped before crash, investigators say

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Alison Roberts & Henri AstierBBC News, in Lisbon and London

Reuters Wreckage of the funicular that crashed in Lisbon on WednesdayReuters

One of the two cabins hurtled down the steep road, derailed and crashed into a building

Portuguese officials investigating Wednesday’s deadly funicular crash in Lisbon say a cable along the railway’s route snapped, but the rest of the mechanism was functioning properly.

“After examining the wreckage at the site, it was immediately determined that the cable connecting the two carriages had given way,” a statement by the national transport safety office said.

The brakeman tried to apply emergency brakes but failed to prevent the derailment, the investigators add.

Sixteen people died and about 20 were injured when the upper carriage of the iconic yellow Glória funicular railway crashed into a building.

Five of those killed were Portuguese along with three Britons, two South Koreans, two Canadians, an American, a Ukrainian, a Swiss and a French national, police said.

The 140-year-old funicular is designed to travel up and down Lisbon’s steep slopes, and is an important form of transport for the city’s residents – and a popular tourist attraction.

Although the brakeman activated the pneumatic brakes and a manual brake when the cable came loose, it is not clear whether another, automatic brake came on as it was supposed to, the report states.

It says the carriage was travelling at about 60km/h (37mph) when it hit the building.

The seven-page statement also says the cable was only 337 days into its expected 600-day operational life.

It is still unclear how many victims were travelling on the carriage – which can hold about 40 passengers – and how many were on the street, the document states.

Six of those injured were admitted to intensive care, while three sustained minor injuries.

The investigators stress they have not reached “valid conclusions” about the cause of the crash and will provide a full preliminary report within 45 days.

Portugal’s Prime Minister Luis Montenegro described the incident as “one of the biggest tragedies of our recent past”.



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