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Donald Trump halts US-Canada trade talks over Big Tech tax dispute

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Donald Trump said the US was “terminating” trade talks with Canada in retaliation against a new digital services tax on tech companies, reigniting a bitter North American trade war after months of détente. 

He vowed to use America’s economic heft to hit back and set a new tariff rate on Canadian imports “within the next seven day period”.

Canada, a very difficult Country to TRADE with . . . has just announced that they are putting a Digital Services Tax on our American Technology Companies, which is a direct and blatant attack on our Country,” the US president posted on his Truth Social platform on Friday. 

“Based on this egregious Tax, we are hereby terminating ALL discussions on Trade with Canada, effective immediately,” Trump added.

Friday’s announcement plunges the two nations back into a trade war and brings an abrupt end to a period of more cordial relations that followed the election of Mark Carney as Canadian prime minister in March.

“We have a great relationship with the people of Canada,” Trump told journalists in the Oval Office on Friday afternoon. But he added: “We have all the cards, every single one. We don’t want to do anything bad but economically we have such power over Canada.”

Carney — who was propelled to the premiership on a surge of anti-US sentiment — sought to reset relations with Washington that had grown strained under his predecessor Justin Trudeau.

Early meetings between Carney and Trump proved friendly and Carney said this month that the pair had agreed at the G7 summit in the Canadian Rockies “to pursue negotiations towards a deal within the coming 30 days”. But Trump’s outburst threatens to undo that progress.

“The Canadian government will continue to engage in these complex negotiations with the United States in the best interests of Canadian workers and businesses,” the prime minister’s office said. 

The Canadian dollar fell on Trump’s statement as traders reacted to the fresh escalation of the trade dispute, leaving it down 0.7 per cent against the US dollar on the day. The S&P 500 also fell from its highs of the day, but the blue-chip index remained up about 0.3 per cent.

Trump’s broadside comes after Canadian finance minister François-Philippe Champagne said this month that Ottawa was “going ahead” with plans for a digital services tax despite the misgivings of the Trump administration. 

The measure would hit tech groups with a 3 per cent levy on revenue earned from Canadian users and has been opposed by Silicon Valley.

Foreign companies such as Meta, Netflix and Amazon, as well as local businesses, must file a return for the tax by the end of the month or face a fine. The tax will be backdated to 2022.

“Obviously, we think it’s patently unfair to do it retroactively,” US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC on Friday. “This is something from the Trudeau years so we were hoping as a sign of goodwill that the new Carney administration would at least put a brake on that during the trade talks. They seem not to have.”

Bessent said US trade representative Jamieson Greer would probably launch an investigation into unfair trade practices over the matter that could trigger further tariffs on Canadian products.

The president said Canada’s tax “copied” those imposed in some EU member states. “And it’s not going to work out well for Europe either,” Trump said. But he added negotiations with the EU were still under way.

Trump also hit out at Canadian agricultural policy, a long-standing area of contention between the countries dating back to the president’s first term.

“They have charged our Farmers as much as 400% Tariffs, for years, on Dairy Products,” he wrote in his Truth Social post on Friday.

Canada recently passed legislation on “supply management” measures to protect its dairy industry through price setting and production quotas — a system described by Trump in 2017 as a “disgrace”.

Trump’s return to office sparked a tit-for-tat trade war between Washington and Ottawa after he announced sweeping 25 per cent tariffs on Canadian goods. Those levies were later amended with carve-outs for goods covered by the USMCA trade deal, but new sectoral tariffs on steel and aluminium have hit Canada hard.

The trade acrimony — alongside the president’s threat to annex Canada as the 51st US state — has triggered a surge of resentment north of the border.

Canadian industry groups slammed the digital services tax on Friday and urged the government to scrap it in order to placate Trump.

“For many years, we have warned that the implementation of a unilateral digital services tax could risk undermining Canada’s economic relationship with its most important trading partner, the United States,” said Goldy Hyder, president of the Business Council of Canada. “That unfortunate development has now come to pass.”

Candace Laing, president of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, said the tax was “self-defeating in nature” but added that she hoped it would not derail trade talks between the countries.

“Negotiations go through peaks and valleys. With deadlines approaching, some last-minute surprises should be expected,” she added. “The tone and tenor of talks has improved in recent months, and we hope to see progress continue.”



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Fox got a big Trump bump — now comes the hard part

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Fox Corporation has been riding on a ratings high since Donald Trump’s re-election in November. Shares in the conglomerate — now primarily a news and sports media company after Disney bought out its film and television entertainment assets — are up 63 per cent over the past 12 months. That handily tops the gains at Comcast and Warner Bros Discovery, the parent company of rival cable news networks MSNBC and CNN. But a more fragmented and competitive media landscape also means a second Trump administration could be a double-edged sword.

Fox News, the company’s crown jewel, was the most watched cable TV channel in 2024, according to Nielsen ratings. It averaged 2.4mn viewers during the primetime hours of 8pm-11pm, a 30 per cent year-on-year increase. The audience surge has continued post-election, with the channel averaging 2.8mn viewers in June, a 23 per cent jump compared with the same period the year before. By contrast, MSNBC, which averaged 955,000 viewers and CNN, averaging 642,000 viewers, both recorded declines in viewership.

Advertisers have followed. Fox News has attracted 125 new blue-chip advertisers — including Amazon, JPMorgan and Netflix — since the US election. For the March quarter, the company pulled in more than $2bn in advertising revenue, a 65 per cent jump from the same period last year. Analysts at Bernstein reckon the figure could exceed $6.5bn for the full financial year that ended in June, up from $5.4bn the previous year.

Fox’s challenge is to turn a bump into a durable ascent. At a market capitalisation of $19bn, the company now trades at 13.5 times forward earnings — well above its three- and five-year averages. But for the years between Trump’s two presidential terms, the shares largely traded sideways. A flurry of executive orders and divisive policies keep the administration in the news, but Fox can’t rely on the current White House occupant forever.

That means reckoning with two trends. First, traditional sources of information — TV and newspaper — have seen their influences steadily chipped away by independent journalists, podcasters, social media influencers and content creators. So although Fox may dominate cable news, many people — especially younger viewers — are turning to other right-leaning sources, including podcaster Joe Rogan and upstart channels such as Newsmax and One America News Network.

Perhaps the biggest test will be digital. Fox plans to launch a direct-to-consumer subscription streaming service. Details are scant for now. But attempts by traditional media companies and Big Tech to break into video streaming have been mixed — and expensive. Comcast’s Peacock streaming service racked up $20.7bn in operating costs and expenses between 2020 and 2024. Disney’s direct to consumer streaming services took five years to turn a profit. Trump has given Fox a fillip; it will have to do the next bit on its own.

pan.yuk@ft.com



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America’s police-industrial complex has a meme stock

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Violent encounters between police and US residents claim about 2,000 lives a year. Axon Enterprise claims it has a way to reduce the frequency of such tragedies: by selling “neuromuscular incapacitation” devices to law enforcement. Readers might know these by their brand name: tasers. Thanks to their growing use, Axon has become one of the better performing stocks on the US market.

Shares in the Arizona-based group are up more than sevenfold since the start of 2020, vastly outpacing companies such as Meta Platforms and Apple, and giving Axon a market capitalisation of $62bn. Other stocks linked to law and order have also risen since Donald Trump’s election, such as private prison operator Geo Group and surveillance software maker Palantir. Axon now trades at more than 20 times estimated revenue for this year, its top line growing at 30 per cent annually.

That multiple is partly justified by a pivot from hardware to software. Axon also makes police body cameras that deliver video feeds back to the precinct. Some of its subscriptions create automated transcripts of encounters between police and citizens, cutting time spent on paperwork. Non-lethal force and video monitoring, it says, together contribute to more accountable law enforcement.

Software subscriptions are often seen as “sticky” — and therefore attract high valuations from investors — because customers tend to be loath to cancel or switch suppliers, even, in this case, with stretched police budgets and the occasional call to “defund the police”. The company says its total addressable market — an aspirational measurement popular with growth companies — is about $130bn, or more than 40 times its revenue at present.

One challenge will be to secure a place in institutional portfolios, which means overcoming potential queasiness about a product which, after all, inflicts pain. Axon does have some elite credentials: its chief financial officer came from KKR; its revenue and product officers from Amazon. Its board includes Caitlin Kalinowski, a former Meta Platforms executive now building robots and hardware for OpenAI.

Column chart of $bn showing Police spending in America has outpaced inflation in this century

Still, there is work to do. In 2022, nine members of Axon’s artificial intelligence ethics board resigned after the company disregarded advice about piloting a “taser-equipped drone” initiative. And the hardware component of the business still remains important, and may be too edgy for some. Consider the “Taser 10” model equipped with a range of 45 feet, and 10 shots that can pierce “dense clothing”.

Axon’s gross margin of about 60 per cent shows there’s substantial profit to be had from providing innovative gadgets to law enforcement agencies. Last week’s US budget bill, which allocated $165bn to the Department of Homeland Security, shows how much there is at stake. For investors who can get comfortable with that — and with the fact that the company ultimately has limited control over how, and on whom, its tools are used in the field — Axon is undoubtedly a stock for the times.

sujeet.indap@ft.com



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AI data centre group CoreWeave strikes $9bn deal to buy rival Core Scientific

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CoreWeave has struck a $9bn deal to acquire its rival Core Scientific, in a transaction set to eliminate $10bn of expensive lease costs for the artificial intelligence data centre operator.

CoreWeave announced on Monday that it was acquiring Core Scientific in an all-stock transaction, capitalising on a rally in its share price to seal a deal that will hand the latter company a stake of less than 10 per cent in the overall business.

The New Jersey-based group said the deal valued its competitor’s shares at about $9bn, significantly higher than a previous takeover attempt last year that Core Scientific then rebuffed as “significantly” undervaluing its shares.

After that aborted takeover, CoreWeave struck billions of dollars of long-dated lease transactions with its Delaware-based rival, under which it rented out Core Scientific’s high-performance data centres in order to power the AI computing needs of its customers.

“Owning Core Scientific’s high-performance data centre infrastructure enables us to significantly enhance operational efficiencies and de-risk our future expansion,” CoreWeave’s chief executive Michael Intrator told analysts and investors on Monday, adding that the deal would help its customers “to unleash the full potential of artificial intelligence”.

Core Scientific’s shares fell as much as 20 per cent on Monday — having rallied last month on a Wall Street Journal report of a potential takeover — while CoreWeave’s shares slipped nearly 5 per cent.

Core Scientific shareholders will receive 0.1235 of newly issued CoreWeave shares if the deal closes as planned in the fourth quarter of 2025. This fixed ratio means Core Scientific shareholders bear the risk of a CoreWeave share-price slide devaluing the transaction.

“The price appears low,” Cantor analysts wrote in a note, adding that the agreed share price for the takeover was only about 10 per cent higher than Core Scientific’s record high in November. “The implied acquisition multiple is too low, we are a bit underwhelmed with the agreed takeout price,” they wrote.

CoreWeave buys cutting-edge graphical processing units from Nvidia — which is also a shareholder and one of its biggest customers — and rents them out to large tech companies to power their AI usage.

While CoreWeave had a rocky reception when it floated its shares in March — scaling back both the size and valuation of its initial public offering — its shares have since rallied nearly 300 per cent. CoreWeave’s market capitalisation is currently about $75bn.

CoreWeave’s underwhelming debut was largely driven by concerns over its substantial debts and financial complexity, driven in part by the long-dated and expensive nature of its lease liabilities with Core Scientific.

The new deal could allay some of those concerns. CoreWeave claimed that the transaction would “eliminate” $10bn of lease costs and estimated that it could achieve $500mn of annual cost savings by 2027.

Both CoreWeave and Core Scientific began as cryptocurrency miners, but have pivoted to focusing on AI as demand for vast computing power and large data centres soars.

While the two companies share similar names and a history in the bitcoin mining space, they have operated as separate businesses until now.

Darin Feinstein, a former nightclub owner and noted cryptocurrency enthusiast, co-founded Core Scientific in 2017 to provide data centre capacity for computer-intensive bitcoin mining companies.

The company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2022, when a cryptocurrency crash roiled its biggest customers, and Feinstein stepped down as group co-chair in 2023.

Crypto miners run powerful computing sites where they solve complex mathematical puzzles in order to authenticate transactions and produce digital coins. These data centres are in high demand because the powerful graphics processing chips are used in both crypto mining and AI processing, while large computing facilities are expensive to build from scratch.

CoreWeave said Monday’s deal would gave it the “potential to repurpose or divest” Core Scientific’s crypto mining business “over the medium-term horizon”.

Intrator further underscored the pivot away from crypto, telling investors: “We are not looking to expand our footprint into cryptocurrencies.”



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