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US federal data glitch overlooks 200,000 international students

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Earlier this year, The PIE News reported on an error found in federal datasets that appeared to show falling international student numbers from August 2024 to the present.  

The inaccurate SEVIS data painted a picture of dramatically declining international student numbers, which then flatlined in an unusual fashion – with data appearing to show an 11% enrolment decline between March 2024 and March 2025.  

In reality, the number of international students in the US was increasing at a steady rate, with corrected data published by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) on July 4 showing a growth rate of 6.5% from September 2023 to September 2024. 

In September last year, the inaccurate figures were over 200,000 students short of the actual totals, according to analysis by Boston College professor Chris Glass.

The real data has revealed a new all-time high for international student numbers in the US, reaching nearly 1.3 million in September 2024.  

What’s more, last year’s growth rate of 6.5% is more than double IIE’s predicted 3% growth rate, laid out in its 2024 Fall Snapshot survey.  

After India surpassing China as the US’s top sending destination in 2023, the gap between the two sending countries continues to widen, with new SEVIS data for June 2025 showing almost 143,000 more students from India than China.  

However, it is important to note that the figures include both international students enrolled at US colleges and those working on Optional Practical Training (OPT).  

The US is the only one of the ‘big four’ study destinations to include the post-graduation work stream in overall student figures, and stakeholders have called for the two to be disaggregated to help institutional recruitment plans and wider sector advocacy about career opportunities.  

“It’s odd to me that OPT participants are routinely characterised as students in prominent reporting,” said Eddie West, assistant vice-president, international affairs, at California State University, Fresno.  

“Counting F-1 visa-holders working on OPT as students makes almost no sense and is an artefact of how they first arrived. They’re employees in the US workforce,” he added. 

The issue of including OPT in the US’s overall student population was laid bare last year, after IIE’s Open Doors report for 2023/24 revealed an all-time high of 1.1 million international students in the US.  

As IIE separates the two counts, closer analysis could subsequently reveal that while OPT had increased by 22%, new enrolments had only risen by 0.1% – a crucial detail that was getting lost in prominent reporting.  

Counting F-1 visa-holders working on OPT as students makes almost no sense and is an artefact of how they first arrived

Eddie West, California State University, Fresno

Meanwhile, though historical data helps inform tactical implementation of recruitment strategies, according to Intead CEO Ben Waxman, colleges should focus on the present and make decisions with what they have available.  

“The macro trend numbers make good headlines but don’t necessarily inform how a specific institution should move forward… What works for individual institutions is keeping eyes on the ball,” Waxman told The PIE. 

“Backing away from concerted recruitment efforts pretty much guarantees that the declines in student volume we all anticipate will land squarely on your institution,” he warned.  

The anticipated declines highlighted by Waxman refer to the drop in F-1 visa issuance already being felt by US institutions as the damaging effect of Donald Trump’s hostile policies take hold.  

In May 2025, there was a 22% drop in student visa issuance as compared to the previous year, according to State Department data.  

And this doesn’t account for the impact of the pausing of new visa appointments – which stretched from May 27 to June 26 – and continues to cause severe backlogs and cancelled visa appointments.  

What’s more, the expansion of social media screening for student and exchange visitor visas is causing further delays, as interest in the US as a study destination plummets under Trump. 

Amid the administration’s attacks on Harvard, as well as its proposals to enforce time limits on student visas, its appeal among international students has fallen to its lowest level since the pandemic, with 73% of institutions surveyed by NAFSA expecting fewer international students this fall.  

According to Glass, the appointment pause coupled with expanded screening measures could translate into a potential international student decline of 7-11% in the upcoming semester, as compared to 2024.  

Depending on future policies, “we may see fluctuations in 2026 due to deferrals … akin to when we saw pent-up growth express itself after COVID was more firmly in the rear-view mirror”, suggested West, though he said continued growth in the short-term was “highly unlikely”.  

The macro trend numbers make good headlines but don’t necessarily inform how a specific institution should move forward

Ben Waxman, Intead

With the initial error being resolved, stakeholders have acknowledged the difficulties of maintaining such a large database.  

“Something so vast in scope, complex and fluid as international student mobility and enrolment is no easy feat, especially in the States,” said West, adding that he was more concerned about “long-standing deficiencies”, pointing to Australia’s PRISMS system as a far more sophisticated and precise tracking method.   

Elsewhere, concerns remain around the department’s lack of transparency, which has left many unanswered questions about how the department will ensure there are no future data failures of a similar kind.  

The timeframe of the glitch has also raised eyebrows, with almost a year passing from when the data irregularities emerged in August 2024 to when they were removed from the website in April 2025 and finally corrected this July.  

What’s more, it is still unclear whether anyone at the department was aware of the glitch before DHS was notified of it by EnglishUSA in mid-April, with Mark Algren of the University of Kansas who noticed the error saying he had “no idea why someone didn’t catch it”.  

The PIE reached out to DHS but is yet to receive a response.  



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Crizac hits Indian stock market following IPO success

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Nearly a week after Kolkata-headquartered Crizac raised Rs. 860 crore (£73.9 million) through its initial public offering (IPO), structured as an offer for sale (OFS) by promoters Pinky Agarwal and Manish Agarwal, the company’s shares surged in domestic stock markets on Wednesday, at nearly a 15% premium above the issue price of Rs. 245. 

The IPO’s success – managed by Equirus Capital Private Limited and Anand Rathi Advisors Limited – along with its strong performance on the National Stock Exchange and Bombay Stock Exchange, is expected to fuel Crizac’s expansion into new destinations and services.

“The reason we went for a full OFS, or fully secondary, as we might say in the UK, is because the company’s balance sheet is very strong. We already have sufficient capital to support our expansion plans. Our focus remains on diversifying globally, which has been our strength over the past five years and will continue to be our strength in the future,” Christopher Nagle, CEO of Crizac, told The PIE News. 

While an OFS means that the company, in this case, Crizac, did not raise new capital through the IPO – with proceeds instead going to existing shareholders, namely the Agarwals – its entry into the financial markets allows the company to publicly demonstrate “the scale, size, and operations of the company in a transparent way”, according to Nagle.

Crizac’s decision to go public comes as it looks to expand, beyond student recruitment, into areas such as student loans, housing, and other services. 

The company is also eyeing new geographies and high-growth markets within India.

We also see great potential and can add great value in other destinations like Ireland, the USA, and Australia
Vikash Agarwal, Crizac

“We have a strong plan to expand across cities in India. Even though we are already one of the biggest recruiters for India-UK, we believe there’s still significant room for growth,” stated Vikash Agarwal, chairman and managing director, Crizac. 

“We also see great potential and can add great value in other destinations like Ireland, the USA, and Australia,” he added. 

Crizac, which reported a total income of Rs. 849.5 crore (£78m) in FY25, currently works with over 10,000 agents and some 173 international institutions.

Tthrough its stock market listing, the company aims to strengthen confidence among it partners.

“The fact that we are listed doesn’t change how we interact with agents, but we believe it will lead to even greater trust from universities and agent partners alike, thanks to the level of diligence and corporate governance that is now required of us,” stated Nagle.

With a market capitalisation of Rs 5,379.84 crore (nearly £555m), Crizac’s solid financial track record and low debt levels have been key drivers behind its IPO, even as changing policies in major study destinations continue to influence the sector.

As destinations like Australia hike visa fees, the UK increases compliance among institutions and considers imposing levies on international student fees, the US tightens vetting and eyes visa time limits, and Canada raises financial thresholds amid falling study permits, it remains to be seen how students from India, Nigeria, and China will navigate their study abroad choices in the coming years. 

According to government data presented in the Indian Parliament, there was a nearly 15% decline in Indian students going abroad, largely in the major four destinations, while countries like Germany, Russia, France, Ireland, and New Zealand saw increased interest.

However, despite the downturn, Crizac is confident that its move will inspire other Indian education companies to create value on the global stage. 

“Being the first listed company in this space will unlock significant value for the industry. We believe many are already watching our listing closely, and there will be a lot others going public from this sector now,” stated Agarwal. 



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New York Passes the Responsible AI Safety and Education Act

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The New York legislature recently passed the Responsible AI Safety and Education Act (SB6953B) (“RAISE Act”).  The bill awaits signature by New York Governor Kathy Hochul.

Applicability and Relevant Definitions

The RAISE Act applies to “large developers,” which is defined as a person that has trained at least one frontier model and has spent over $100 million in compute costs in aggregate in training frontier models. 

  • “Frontier model” means either (1) an artificial intelligence (AI) model trained using greater than 10°26 computational operations (e.g., integer or floating-point operations), the compute cost of which exceeds $100 million; or (2) an AI model produced by applying knowledge distillation to a frontier model, provided that the compute cost for such model produced by applying knowledge distillation exceeds $5 million.
  • “Knowledge distillation” is defined as any supervised learning technique that uses a larger AI model or the output of a larger AI model to train a smaller AI model with similar or equivalent capabilities as the larger AI model.

The RAISE Act imposes the following obligations and restrictions on large developers:  

  • Prohibition on Frontier Models that Create Unreasonable Risk of Critical Harm: The RAISE Act prohibits large developers from deploying a frontier model if doing so would create an unreasonable risk of “critical harm.”

    • Critical harm” is defined as the death or serious injury of 100 or more people, or at least $1 billion in damage to rights in money or property, caused or materially enabled by a large developer’s use, storage, or release of a frontier model through (1) the creation or use of a chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear weapon; or (2) an AI model engaging in conduct that (i) acts with no meaningful human intervention and (ii) would, if committed by a human, constitute a crime under the New York Penal Code that requires intent, recklessness, or gross negligence, or the solicitation or aiding and abetting of such a crime.

  • Pre-Deployment Documentation and Disclosures: Before deploying a frontier model, large developers must:

    • (1) implement a written safety and security protocol;
    • (2) retain an unredacted copy of the safety and security protocol, including records and dates of any updates or revisions, for as long as the frontier model is deployed plus five years;
    • (3) conspicuously publish a redacted copy of the safety and security protocol and provide a copy of such redacted protocol to the New York Attorney General (“AG”) and the Division of Homeland Security and Emergency Services (“DHS”) (as well as grant the AG access to the unredacted protocol upon request);
    • (4) record and retain for as long as the frontier model is deployed plus five years information on the specific tests and test results used in any assessment of the frontier model that provides sufficient detail for third parties to replicate the testing procedure; and
    • (5) implement appropriate safeguards to prevent unreasonable risk of critical harm posed by the frontier model.

  • Safety and Security Protocol Annual Review: A large developer must conduct an annual review of its safety and security protocol to account for any changes to the capabilities of its frontier models and industry best practices and make any necessary modifications to protocol. For material modifications, the large developer must conspicuously publish a copy of such protocol with appropriate redactions (as described above).  
  • Reporting Safety Incidents: A large developer must disclose each safety incident affecting a frontier model to the AG and DHS within 72 hours of the large developer learning of the safety incident or facts sufficient to establish a reasonable belief that a safety incident occurred.

    • “Safety incident” is defined as a known incidence of critical harm or one of the following incidents that provides demonstrable evidence of an increased risk of critical harm: (1) a frontier model autonomously engaging in behavior other than at the request of a user; (2) theft, misappropriation, malicious use, inadvertent release, unauthorized access, or escape of the model weights of a frontier model; (3) the critical failure of any technical or administrative controls, including controls limiting the ability to modify a frontier model; or (4) unauthorized use of a frontier model. The disclosure must include (1) the date of the safety incident; (2) the reasons the incident qualifies as a safety incident; and (3) a short and plain statement describing the safety incident.

If enacted, the RAISE Act would take effect 90 days after being signed into law.



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School suspensions and exclusions rise to nearly a million in England

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The number of school suspensions and exclusions in England has reached its highest level since 2006, Department for Education figures show.

There were 954,952 suspensions in state schools in 2023/24 – a 21% increase on the previous year – while exclusions also rose 16% to 10,885.

While secondary school pupils comprised most suspensions, more than 100,000 were primary age – a number that has grown significantly.

A suspended pupil must stay out of school for a fixed period of up to 45 days per school year, while those excluded are permanently removed. Individual pupils often account for more than one period of suspension.

The government says it is tackling the root causes of poor behaviour and is intensively supporting 500 schools with the worst behaviour.

Persistent disruptive behaviour was the most common reason pupils were sent home, accounting for half of all suspensions and 39% exclusions.

Nearly half of the suspensions were among pupils getting support for special educational needs – who were three times more likely to be suspended than their classmates.

Children on free school meals were also overrepresented, making up a quarter of the school population but 60% of suspensions.

Paul Whiteman, general secretary at school leaders’ union NAHT, said schools alone could not address the causes of poor behaviour.

“Schools have a duty to provide a safe environment for all pupils and only use suspensions and exclusions when other options to ensure this have been exhausted,” he said.

“The reasons for disruptive behaviour often lie beyond the school gates and have their roots in wider challenges, including everything from poverty to access to support with special educational needs and mental ill-health.”

The vast majority of suspensions – nine in 10 – occurred at secondary schools, with Year 9 having the highest rate.

But primary-age suspensions rose too, up 24% on the previous year.

The vast majority (88%) of pupils who were excluded at primary school were getting support for special educational needs, compared with 46% of excluded secondary school pupils.

Research from charity Chance UK, which supports families of excluded children in London, suggests that 90% of children who are excluded at primary school fail to pass GCSE English and maths.

Sophie Schmal, the charity’s director, said Thursday’s figures revealed a “very concerning picture” – particularly the rise in primary school suspensions.

“Early intervention has to mean early. We can’t wait until these children are teenagers to tackle this.”

Sarah – not her real name – is a mum of one in London. Her six-year-old son was suspended several times within his first few weeks at primary school for hitting other pupils and throwing things in class.

She said that even after school staff agreed that her son showed signs of autism, he continued to be sent out of class regularly and suspended, which made him feel “isolated”.

“Since he was three years old, my son has been labelled as the naughty and difficult kid when all he really needed was help,” she said.

“I sought help as soon as I recognised that he needed additional support. But rather than helping me immediately, they waited until it was an emergency.”

Sarah eventually managed to move her son to a different mainstream school where he is getting more support, she said.

Responding to the figures, early education minister Stephen Morgan said the Labour government had “wasted no time in tackling the root causes of poor behaviour”, including offering mental health support in every school and expanding free school meals.

He pointed to its new attendance and behaviour hubs, which will directly support the 500 schools that “need the most help”.

“We’re also continuing to listen to parents as we reform the SEND system, while already putting in place better and earlier support for speech and language needs, ADHD and autism,” Morgan added.



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